Result
 
                    0:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        10/05/2025 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Premier League - Round 30
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Sofapaka 40.4%
 | Draw 32.5%
 | Kariobangi Sharks 27.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.25 ↑ (2.22)
 | 2.8 ↓ (2.85)
 | 3.36 ↑ (3.31)
 | 9.8% (10.3%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 3.
- Sofapaka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kariobangi Sharks is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sofapaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sofapaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Kariobangi Sharks?
                    
                    
                        
                            Sofapaka has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Kariobangi Sharks won against Sofapaka?
                    
                    
                        
                             Kariobangi Sharks has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks were as follows:
                                                        
                                01.12.2024 
                                Kariobangi Sharks 
                                - 
                                Sofapaka 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.05.2024 
                                Kariobangi Sharks 
                                - 
                                Sofapaka 
                                5:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                10.12.2023 
                                Sofapaka 
                                - 
                                Kariobangi Sharks 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                07.05.2023 
                                Sofapaka 
                                - 
                                Kariobangi Sharks 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.02.2023 
                                Kariobangi Sharks 
                                - 
                                Sofapaka 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sofapaka                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Kariobangi Sharks                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 | 
| 2 | Gor Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 | 
| 3 | Posta Rangers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 | 
| 4 | Bidco United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 | 
| 5 | Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 | 
| 6 | Tusker | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 | 
| 7 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 | 
| 8 | Mathare Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 | 
| 9 | Nairobi United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 | 
| 10 | KCB | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 | 
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 | 
| 12 | Bandari | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 | 
| 13 | Sofapaka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 | 
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 | 
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 | 
| 16 | Police FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 | 
| 17 | Muranga | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 | 
| 18 | APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 | 
      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
      Premier League (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Super League