Result
0:0
22/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Sofapaka
31.9% | Draw
33.9% | Kariobangi Sharks
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.Kariobangi Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kariobangi Sharks's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kariobangi Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.31) |
2.66 ↓
(2.9) |
2.65 ↓
(3.17) |
10.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Sofapaka (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sofapaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 3.
- Sofapaka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kariobangi Sharks has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kariobangi Sharks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sofapaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Kariobangi Sharks?
Sofapaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kariobangi Sharks won against Sofapaka?
Kariobangi Sharks has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks were as follows:
10.05.2025
Sofapaka
-
Kariobangi Sharks
0:0
01.12.2024
Kariobangi Sharks
-
Sofapaka
1:2
11.05.2024
Kariobangi Sharks
-
Sofapaka
5:2
10.12.2023
Sofapaka
-
Kariobangi Sharks
2:1
07.05.2023
Sofapaka
-
Kariobangi Sharks
1:0
Latest results of Sofapaka
Latest results of Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
