Result
0:0
22/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Sofapaka
31.9% | Draw
33.9% | Kariobangi Sharks
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.Kariobangi Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kariobangi Sharks's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kariobangi Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.31) |
2.66 ↓
(2.9) |
2.65 ↓
(3.17) |
10.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sofapaka (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sofapaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 3.
- Sofapaka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kariobangi Sharks has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kariobangi Sharks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sofapaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Kariobangi Sharks?
Sofapaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kariobangi Sharks won against Sofapaka?
Kariobangi Sharks has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks were as follows:
10.05.2025
Sofapaka
-
Kariobangi Sharks
0:0
01.12.2024
Kariobangi Sharks
-
Sofapaka
1:2
11.05.2024
Kariobangi Sharks
-
Sofapaka
5:2
10.12.2023
Sofapaka
-
Kariobangi Sharks
2:1
07.05.2023
Sofapaka
-
Kariobangi Sharks
1:0
Latest results of Sofapaka
Latest results of Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
