Result
2:0
29/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 76', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ulinzi Stars
46.3% | Draw
31.1% | Sofapaka
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ulinzi Stars that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sofapaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(1.98) |
2.9 ↓
(2.99) |
4 ↑
(3.84) |
10.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 2.
- Ulinzi Stars is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sofapaka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ulinzi Stars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ulinzi Stars could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulinzi Stars won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulinzi Stars won against Sofapaka?
Ulinzi Stars has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Ulinzi Stars?
Sofapaka has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka were as follows:
24.11.2025
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:3
04.04.2025
Ulinzi Stars
-
Sofapaka
0:1
07.12.2024
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
4:1
13.04.2024
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:1
24.09.2023
Ulinzi Stars
-
Sofapaka
1:0
Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 64 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 43:31 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
