Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 23
- Referee: Toxtasinov T. (Uzb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Dzhuraboev Z. ↓, Kobilov I. ↑,
- 38', 0 - 1, Iskanderov J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Mavlonkulov S. ↓, Hebaj R. ↑,
- 81', Izzatov S. ↓, Andreev S. ↑,
- 81', Abdurakhmonov S. ↓, Mustafokulov K. ↑,
- 83', 🟨,
- 84', Ivanovic F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Alibaev I. ↓, Gulyamov G. ↑,
- 90+3', Kojo J. ↓, Odilov A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sogdiana Jizzakh
31.9% | Draw
30% | Neftchi Fargona
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sogdiana Jizzakh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogdiana Jizzakh than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Sogdiana Jizzakh - Neftchi Fargona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(2.98) |
3.07 ↓
(3.08) |
2.41 ↓
(2.44) |
8.7%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sogdiana Jizzakh - Neftchi Fargona?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Neftchi Fargona will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogdiana won 2.
- Sogdiana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Neftchi Fargona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Neftchi Fargona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sogdiana won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sogdiana won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sogdiana Jizzakh won against Neftchi Fargona?
Sogdiana Jizzakh has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against Sogdiana Jizzakh?
Neftchi Fargona has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sogdiana Jizzakh - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
04.05.2025
Neftchi Fargona
-
Sogdiana Jizzakh
2:1
20.08.2024
Neftchi Fargona
-
Sogdiana Jizzakh
0:3
06.07.2024
Sogdiana Jizzakh
-
Neftchi Fargona
1:0
02.03.2024
Sogdiana Jizzakh
-
Neftchi Fargona
1:2
11.08.2023
Neftchi Fargona
-
Sogdiana Jizzakh
0:0
Latest results of Sogdiana Jizzakh
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 46:19 | 27 | 53 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 3 | Pakhtakor | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:20 | 29 | 46 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 35:25 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 38:30 | 8 | 40 |
| 6 | OKMK | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 35:27 | 8 | 40 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 37 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20:30 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Sogdiana | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 28 |
| 10 | Kokand 1912 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Andijan | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:26 | -8 | 25 |
| 13 | Mashal Muborak | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18:40 | -22 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
| 15 | Buxoro | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 21 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16:43 | -27 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
