Somozas vs Gran Peña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Somozas
42.6%
Draw
31.7%
Gran Peña
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 30.6% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 30.5% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Somozas - Gran Peña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.09)
    2.87
    (2.96)
    3.55
    (3.5)
    9.7%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1.
    • Somozas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gran Peña has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Somozas could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Somozas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Somozas - Gran Peña were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Gran Peña - Somozas 0:0
    19.01.2025 Gran Peña - Somozas 0:4
    08.09.2024 Somozas - Gran Peña 0:1
    09.03.2024 Somozas - Gran Peña 0:0
    22.10.2023 Gran Peña - Somozas 1:1
    Latest results of Somozas
    08.02.2026 Silva SD - Somozas 1:0
    01.02.2026 Somozas - Céltiga 1:1
    18.01.2026 Boiro - Somozas 0:3
    11.01.2026 Somozas - Barco 1:0
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    08.02.2026 Gran Peña - Montañeros 1:1
    01.02.2026 Arosa - Gran Peña 1:0
    18.01.2026 Gran Peña - Noia 5:0
    11.01.2026 RC Villalbes - Gran Peña 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela26158341:202153
    2Arosa SC26158348:291953
    3Somozas26119627:21642
    4Racing Club Villalbes261011529:191041
    5Atletico Arteixo26109738:32639
    6Gran Pena26911638:30838
    7Barco261151027:27038
    8Estradense26910734:26837
    9Lugo B26910729:29037
    10Celtiga261061038:32636
    11Boiro2699829:23636
    12Alondras26971034:36-234
    13Montaneros26810834:31334
    14Viveiro26781120:32-1229
    15Silva SD26661418:34-1624
    16Cambados263121117:26-921
    17Noia26461618:42-2418
    18Barbadas-Bentraces26371616:46-3016

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          Relegation