Son Cladera vs Mercadal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
17/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)

Chances of winning


Son Cladera
34.8%
Draw
31.9%
Mercadal
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 31.8% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 30.7% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Son Cladera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Son Cladera than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Son Cladera - Mercadal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.59)
    2.84
    (2.84)
    2.72
    (2.7)
    10.5%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
    • Son Cladera has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mercadal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Son Cladera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Son Cladera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Son Cladera
    10.01.2026 Son Cladera - Binissalem 0:3
    04.01.2026 Felanitx - Son Cladera 0:2
    13.12.2025 Portmany - Son Cladera 1:0
    Latest results of Mercadal
    10.01.2026 Alcúdia - Mercadal 0:1
    04.01.2026 Mercadal - Mallorca B 0:2
    14.12.2025 Mercadal - Formentera 0:1
    07.12.2025 Inter Ibiza - Mercadal 0:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B32255297:217680
    2Manacor32244468:343476
    3Pena Deportiva32198566:283865
    4Constancia321751056:282856
    5Llosetense32159856:381854
    6Inter Ibiza321551242:39350
    7Formentera321212835:26948
    8Mercadal321441428:36-846
    9Cardassar321181334:51-1741
    10Platges de Calvia321161536:38-239
    11Santanyi321081440:55-1538
    12Binissalem329101323:33-1037
    13Alcudia321141734:58-2437
    14Son Cladera321051737:58-2135
    15Portmany32861824:47-2330
    16Collerense325101739:61-2225
    17Felanitx324111727:57-3023
    18Rotlet Molinar32482032:66-3420

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation