South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/06/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Accor Stadium (Sydney).

NRL - Round 16
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
Australia	Fox League, NRL
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Tries
5	4
Conversion Goals
2	4
Conversion Goal Attempts
5	4
Penalty Goals
0	0
Penalty Goal Attempts
0	0
Goals %
40	100
Dropped Goals
0	1
Dropped Goal Attempts
0	1
Total Runs
181	191
Metres Run With Ball
1671	1785

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 12)
4', Grant H. (Try),
5', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
6', Hughes J. (Try),
7', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
27', Johnston A. (Try),
28', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (20 - 12)
44', Johnston A. (Try),
45', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
47', Johnston A. (Try),
49', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
52', Anderson G. (Try),
54', Johnston A. (Try),
54', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
55', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
69', Wishart T. (Try),
71', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
77', Munro T. (Try),
78', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
Extra Time (0 - 1)
84', Papenhuyzen R. (Drop Goal),

Chances of winning

South Sydney Rabbitohs
21.1%

Draw
3.5%

Melbourne Storm
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

3.6%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

3.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Sydney Rabbitohs's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Storm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Sydney Rabbitohs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.01)	26 (26)	1.24 ↓ (1.41)	8.8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 308:512. (average 15.4:25.6).
Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 144:235. (average 14.4:23.5).

How many head-to-head matches has South Sydney Rabbitohs won against Melbourne Storm?

South Sydney Rabbitohs has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against South Sydney Rabbitohs?

Melbourne Storm has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm were as follows:

25.04.2025 Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs 24:16

08.08.2024 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm 16:28

25.04.2024 Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs 54:20

06.05.2023 Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs 12:28

31.03.2023 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm 10:18

Latest results of South Sydney Rabbitohs

15.06.2025 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 18:24 ✺

08.06.2025 Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs 36:12 ✺

01.06.2025 South Sydney Rabbitohs - New Zealand Warriors 30:36 ✺

18.05.2025 Wests Tigers - South Sydney Rabbitohs 12:22 ✺

09.05.2025 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos 22:14 ✺

Latest results of Melbourne Storm

06.06.2025 Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys 38:14 ✺

31.05.2025 Gold Coast Titans - Melbourne Storm 16:28 ✺

17.05.2025 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Melbourne Storm 31:26 ✺

11.05.2025 Melbourne Storm - Wests Tigers 64:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders 18:20 ✺

Australian NRL Table

Main

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Canberra Raiders	22	18	4	606:434	42
2	Melbourne Storm	22	17	5	647:389	40
3	Canterbury Bulldogs	22	15	7	500:386	36
4	New Zealand Warriors	22	14	8	469:443	34
5	Cronulla Sharks	22	13	9	535:468	32
6	Penrith Panthers	22	12	9	532:421	31
7	Brisbane Broncos	21	12	9	566:452	30
8	Sydney Roosters	22	11	11	577:505	28
9	Dolphins	22	10	12	623:542	26
10	Manly Sea Eagles	22	10	12	488:484	26
11	Wests Tigers	21	9	12	411:518	24
12	St. George Illawarra Dragons	22	8	14	454:548	22
13	South Sydney Rabbitohs	23	9	14	421:572	22
14	NQ Cowboys	22	8	13	474:618	21
15	Parramatta Eels	22	8	14	410:546	20
16	Newcastle Knights	21	6	15	300:486	18
17	Gold Coast Titans	22	5	17	454:655	16

Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )