Result
3:1
06/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 19
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.97 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
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| 19 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (234/290) | 86% (352/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.65 | 1.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.49 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 22 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (234/290) | 86% (352/408) |
| Long passes |
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| 38% (18/47) | 57% (24/42) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 63% (34/54) | 76% (111/147) |
| Crosses |
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| 17% (2/12) | 31% (15/48) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.69 | 1.53 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
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| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
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| 90% (9/10) | 48% (10/21) |
| Duels won |
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| 38 | 51 |
| Clearances |
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| 46 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.46 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.54 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
- 24', 2 - 0, Armstrong A. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Iwata T. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 1, Gray D. ⚽, Cochrane A. (A),
- 58', 3 - 1, Armstrong A. ⚽,
- 59', Cochrane A. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
- 59', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
- 63', Scienza L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
- 63', Armstrong A. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
- 80', Jander C. ↓, Romeu O. ↑,
- 80', Azaz F. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
- 80', Roberts P. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 86', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
- 86', Gray D. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 87', Fellows T. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
- 90+2', Aribo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Southampton 42.3% | Draw 26.2% | Birmingham City 31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Southampton - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.26 ↑ (2.22) |
3.63 ↑ (3.39) |
3.02 ↑ (3.01) |
5% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Southampton - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Edozie S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jelert E.
(Injury)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Injury)
Stewart R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Willumsson W. T.
(Muscle Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Downs D.
(Inactive)
Scienza L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, S`hampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Birmingham City?
Southampton has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Southampton?
Birmingham City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Birmingham City were as follows:
02.03.2024
Birmingham City
-
Southampton
3:4
28.10.2023
Southampton
-
Birmingham City
3:1
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 50:21 | 29 | 43 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 28:20 | 8 | 36 |
| 3 | Millwall | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 33:19 | 14 | 31 |
| 5 | Preston | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Stoke | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Hull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | QPR | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Southampton | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 27 |
| 12 | Wrexham | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Watford | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 27 |
| 14 | Leicester | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 27 |
| 15 | Derby | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 26 |
| 16 | West Brom | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 25 |
| 17 | Charlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 23 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 19 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 24:28 | -4 | 22 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 21 |
| 20 | Swansea | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 17 |
| 23 | Norwich | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 13 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14:36 | -22 | -10 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One