Benevento vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Benevento - SPAL
Result
1:3
10/04/2023 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 32
  • Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
italyItalySky Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Highlights

Chances of winning


Benevento
46.5%
Draw
29.3%
SPAL
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 29.1% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.8% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Benevento - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.15)
    3.23
    (3.2)
    3.88
    (3.36)
    5.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Benevento - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). SPAL will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 36.9%74.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Benevento has the most likely position - 19 (29.17%), project points - 38, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (83%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • SPAL has the most likely position - 20 (32.99%), project points - 37, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (88%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has small quality 26, importance 48, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Benevento won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benevento - SPAL were as follows:
    12.11.2022 SPAL - Benevento 1:2
    Latest results of Benevento
    01.04.2023 Bari - Benevento 2:0
    18.03.2023 Pisa - Benevento 2:0
    11.03.2023 Benevento - Como 0:0
    05.03.2023 Ternana - Benevento 2:2
    Latest results of SPAL
    01.04.2023 SPAL - Ternana 1:1
    12.03.2023 Nuova Cosenza - SPAL 1:0
    05.03.2023 SPAL - Cittadella 2:1
    01.03.2023 SPAL - Frosinone 0:2
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2