Result
2:0
18/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 30
- Referee: Volpi M. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
44.3% | Draw
30.7% | SPAL
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.89) |
3.06 ↓
(3.25) |
3.74 ↓
(3.95) |
6.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 46.1% – 91.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Südtirol has the most likely position - 4 (28.06%), project points - 60, currently - 48, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (92%), a chance of promoted (19%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (22.12%), project points - 38, currently - 28, a good chance of relegated (71%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 30, importance 43, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Südtirol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- SPAL is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Südtirol will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against SPAL?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL were as follows:
29.10.2022
SPAL
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
