Result
1:0
12/03/2023 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29
- Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Nuova Cosenza
37.8% | Draw
30.4% | SPAL
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Nuova Cosenza - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.58) |
3.08 ↓
(3.13) |
2.96 ↑
(2.65) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nuova Cosenza - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.5% – 84.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Cosenza has the most likely position - 20 (59.06%), has project points - 34, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (17.05%), has project points - 40, has currently - 28, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 21, importance 45, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against SPAL?
Nuova Cosenza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Nuova Cosenza?
SPAL has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nuova Cosenza - SPAL were as follows:
22.10.2022
SPAL
-
Nuova Cosenza
5:0
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
