Lucchese vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Lucchese - SPAL
Result
2:3
10/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1810
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
115
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Antenucci M. ,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Antenucci M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 2, Quirini E. ,
  • 58', Zammarini R. , Haoudi H. ,
  • 68', Haoudi H. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 71', 2 - 3, D'Orazio L. ,
  • 75', Gucher R. , Catanese G. ,
  • 75', Antoni E. , Selvini A. ,
  • 84', Nador S. , Radrezza I. ,
  • 84', Awua T. , Kane L. ,
  • 84', Rao E. , Cecchinato L. ,
  • 85', Quirini E. , Fedato F. ,

Chances of winning


Lucchese
33.3%
Draw
32.3%
SPAL
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 28.8% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 26.8% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Lucchese - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.4)
    2.77
    (3.1)
    2.6
    (2.6)
    11.7%
    (12.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lucchese - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 3.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - SPAL were as follows:
    08.09.2024 SPAL - Lucchese 2:3
    04.02.2024 Lucchese - SPAL 2:1
    09.11.2023 SPAL - Lucchese 0:2
    11.10.2023 SPAL - Lucchese Abandoned
    Latest results of Lucchese
    04.01.2025 Gubbio - Lucchese 3:1
    20.12.2024 Lucchese - Pineto 3:3
    15.12.2024 Sassari Torres - Lucchese 0:0
    09.12.2024 Lucchese - Arezzo 0:1
    30.11.2024 Vis Pesaro - Lucchese 2:1
    Latest results of SPAL
    05.01.2025 SPAL - Perugia 1:1
    20.12.2024 Ascoli - SPAL 1:1
    15.12.2024 Gubbio - SPAL 1:1
    07.12.2024 SPAL - Vis Pesaro 0:1
    02.12.2024 Pontedera - SPAL 5:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1