Result
2:3
10/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 252 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Antenucci M. ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, Antenucci M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Quirini E. ⚽,
- 58', Zammarini R. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
- 68', Haoudi H. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 2, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 3, D'Orazio L. ⚽,
- 75', Gucher R. ↓, Catanese G. ↑,
- 75', Antoni E. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
- 84', Nador S. ↓, Radrezza I. ↑,
- 84', Awua T. ↓, Kane L. ↑,
- 84', Rao E. ↓, Cecchinato L. ↑,
- 85', Quirini E. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lucchese
33.3% | Draw
32.3% | SPAL
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Lucchese - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.4) |
2.77 ↓
(3.1) |
2.6 ↓
(2.6) |
11.7%
(12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lucchese - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 3.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lucchese won against SPAL?
Lucchese has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Lucchese?
SPAL has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - SPAL were as follows:
08.09.2024
SPAL
-
Lucchese
2:3
04.02.2024
Lucchese
-
SPAL
2:1
09.11.2023
SPAL
-
Lucchese
0:2
11.10.2023
SPAL
-
Lucchese
Abandoned
Latest results of Lucchese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 24 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Ternana | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Guidonia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Forli | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Campobasso | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Carpi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Pineto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Juventus U23 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Pianese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Gubbio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Livorno | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 | Torres | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Bra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 6 |
| 19 | Perugia | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
