Result
2:3
10/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 252 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Antenucci M. ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, Antenucci M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Quirini E. ⚽,
- 58', Zammarini R. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
- 68', Haoudi H. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 2, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 3, D'Orazio L. ⚽,
- 75', Gucher R. ↓, Catanese G. ↑,
- 75', Antoni E. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
- 84', Nador S. ↓, Radrezza I. ↑,
- 84', Awua T. ↓, Kane L. ↑,
- 84', Rao E. ↓, Cecchinato L. ↑,
- 85', Quirini E. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lucchese
33.3% | Draw
32.3% | SPAL
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Lucchese - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.4) |
2.77 ↓
(3.1) |
2.6 ↓
(2.6) |
11.7%
(12.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lucchese - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 3.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lucchese won against SPAL?
Lucchese has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Lucchese?
SPAL has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - SPAL were as follows:
08.09.2024
SPAL
-
Lucchese
2:3
04.02.2024
Lucchese
-
SPAL
2:1
09.11.2023
SPAL
-
Lucchese
0:2
11.10.2023
SPAL
-
Lucchese
Abandoned
Latest results of Lucchese
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Crotone | Bye | |
| 2 | Benevento | Juventus U23 | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 8 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 9 | Renate | Arzignano | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | Virtus Verona | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 16 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 17 | AlbinoLeffe | Bye | |
| 18 | Trento | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Torres | |
| 24 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 25 | Arezzo | Gubbio | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Vis Pesaro | Pontedera | 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 29 | Catania | Giugliano | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Potenza | Picerno | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pescara | Bye | |
| 32 | Pineto | Pianese | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Crotone | Juventus U23 | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 4 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 5 | Renate | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 8 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bye | Torres | |
| 12 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 13 | Arezzo | Vis Pesaro | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 15 | Catania | Potenza | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pescara | Pianese | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Crotone | FeralpiSalo | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | Monopoli | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | Torres | 1 : 2, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | Rimini | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Catania | Pescara | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Crotone | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Giana Erminio | Ternana | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta U23 | Audace Cerignola | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Vis Pesaro | Pescara | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | Ternana | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | Pescara | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ternana | Pescara | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
