Result
2:3
10/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 252 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Antenucci M. ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, Antenucci M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Quirini E. ⚽,
- 58', Zammarini R. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
- 68', Haoudi H. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 2, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 3, D'Orazio L. ⚽,
- 75', Gucher R. ↓, Catanese G. ↑,
- 75', Antoni E. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
- 84', Nador S. ↓, Radrezza I. ↑,
- 84', Awua T. ↓, Kane L. ↑,
- 84', Rao E. ↓, Cecchinato L. ↑,
- 85', Quirini E. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lucchese
33.3% | Draw
32.3% | SPAL
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Lucchese - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.4) |
2.77 ↓
(3.1) |
2.6 ↓
(2.6) |
11.7%
(12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lucchese - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 3.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lucchese won against SPAL?
Lucchese has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Lucchese?
SPAL has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - SPAL were as follows:
08.09.2024
SPAL
-
Lucchese
2:3
04.02.2024
Lucchese
-
SPAL
2:1
09.11.2023
SPAL
-
Lucchese
0:2
11.10.2023
SPAL
-
Lucchese
Abandoned
Latest results of Lucchese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
