Result
2:1
06/05/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 36
- Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
Chances of winning
Palermo
54.3% | Draw
24.9% | SPAL
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palermo's performance.SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palermo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Palermo - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(2.03) |
3.81 ↑
(3.2) |
4.51 ↑
(3.67) |
5.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palermo - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
Palermo will win
(19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Palermo has the most likely position - 11 (17.6%), project points - 49, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (40.83%), project points - 38, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (84%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 29, importance 41, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Palermo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches SPAL is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Palermo is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Palermo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against SPAL?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Palermo?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - SPAL were as follows:
11.12.2022
SPAL
-
Palermo
1:1
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
