Palermo vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Palermo - SPAL
Result
2:1
06/05/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 36
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
italyItalySky Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Chances of winning


Palermo
54.3%
Draw
24.9%
SPAL
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 29% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 29.7% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palermo's performance.
  • SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palermo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Palermo - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.03)
    3.81
    (3.2)
    4.51
    (3.67)
    5.8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Palermo - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). SPAL will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 63%95.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Palermo has the most likely position - 11 (17.6%), project points - 49, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (40.83%), project points - 38, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (84%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has small quality 29, importance 41, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Palermo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches SPAL is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Palermo is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Palermo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - SPAL were as follows:
    11.12.2022 SPAL - Palermo 1:1
    Latest results of Palermo
    01.05.2023 Como - Palermo 1:1
    22.04.2023 Palermo - Benevento 1:1
    15.04.2023 Venezia - Palermo 3:2
    10.04.2023 Palermo - Nuova Cosenza 0:0
    01.04.2023 Parma - Palermo 2:1
    Latest results of SPAL
    22.04.2023 Modena - SPAL 0:0
    15.04.2023 SPAL - Brescia 2:2
    10.04.2023 Benevento - SPAL 1:3
    01.04.2023 SPAL - Ternana 1:1
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2