Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
2:0
31/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 21
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1, Sport TV2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.190.29
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
52
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
36
Passes
77% (320/417)84% (404/480)
Yellow cards
15
Expected goals (xG)
1.190.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.460.59
Total shots
88
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
21
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
74
Shots outside the box
14
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free kicks
168
Passes
77% (320/417)84% (404/480)
Long passes
42% (25/59)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
60% (58/96)76% (133/176)
Crosses
17% (2/12)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.02
Throw ins
2111
Fouls
816
Tackles
52% (11/21)91% (10/11)
Duels won
7442
Clearances
2922
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.591.46
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Martins Indi B. 🟨,
  • 43', Janse D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Peersman M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Rente M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Mito S. ⚽, Santos A. (A),
  • 64', Willumsson B. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
  • 64', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
  • 64', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
  • 81', Santos A. ↓, Roaldsoy A. ↑,
  • 81', Clement P. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
  • 83', Martes L. ↓, Sambo S. ↑,
  • 87', van der Werff D. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
  • 87', Land T. ↓, Hoekstra M. ↑,
  • 88', van Bergen M. ↓, Kleijn M. ↑,
  • 90', 2 - 0, Mito S. ⚽, Kleijn M. (A),
  • 90+5', Taha Y. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Hoekstra M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sparta Rotterdam
39%		Draw
27.2%		Groningen
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 28.8% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 30.3% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Rotterdam that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Groningen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.43 ↓
    (2.74)    		 3.46 ↑
    (3.25)    		 2.81 ↑
    (2.53)    		 5.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Groningen will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 44.1% – 94.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Sparta Rotterdam (2.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Sparta Rotterdam (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Rotterdam will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 4.
    • Sparta Rotterdam is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Groningen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Groningen: Kelder R. (Inactive) Resink S. (Yellow Cards) Seuntjens M. (Inactive) de Jonge T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Groningen: Resink S. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen were as follows:
    30.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen 5:2
    19.10.2025 Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam 0:2
    02.02.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen 1:0
    09.11.2024 Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam 1:0
    28.05.2023 Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam 0:5
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    25.01.2026 Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam 0:1 ✺
    18.01.2026 Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam 3:4 ✺
    15.01.2026 Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam 1:2 ✺
    11.01.2026 Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo 2:0 ✺
    21.12.2025 Volendam - Sparta Rotterdam 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Groningen
    25.01.2026 Groningen - Fortuna Sittard 1:2 ✺
    18.01.2026 Heerenveen - Groningen 0:2 ✺
    10.01.2026 Groningen - NAC Breda 0:0 ✺
    06.01.2026 Groningen - Bodø Glimt 0:4 ✺
    21.12.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen 1:1 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV24202270:294162
    2Feyenoord24153655:332248
    3Nijmegen24127559:401943
    4Ajax241110347:311643
    5AZ Alkmaar24116742:38439
    6Twente24911439:261338
    7Sparta Rotterdam24114931:40-937
    8Utrecht2487936:31531
    9Groningen24941131:32-131
    10Heerenveen2487940:42-231
    11Sittard24851136:43-729
    12Zwolle24761134:50-1627
    13G.A. Eagles24511837:39-226
    14Excelsior24751226:41-1526
    15FC Volendam24661226:39-1324
    16NAC Breda24571225:36-1122
    17Telstar24391228:41-1318
    18Heracles24521731:62-3117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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