Result
2:3
01/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (282/366) | 81% (322/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 2.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (282/366) | 81% (322/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 46% (31/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (71/114) | 57% (55/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Esposito F. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),
- 36', Vazquez F. 🟨,
- 41', Barbieri T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 63', 0 - 2, Collocolo M. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
- 64', Nagy A. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
- 64', Bandinelli F. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 66', Vandeputte J. 🟨,
- 68', Di Serio G. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
- 73', Castagnetti M. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
- 73', Vandeputte J. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
- 77', Elia S. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 78', Mateju A. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 3, De Luca M. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
- 80', Vazquez F. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Esposito F. ⚽, Esposito Sa. (A),
- 85', 2 - 3, Vignali L. ⚽, Kouda R. (A),
- 90+3', De Luca M. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
- 90+3', Barbieri T. ↓, Bianchetti M. ↑,
- 90+5', Vignali L. 🟥,
- 90+6', Johnsen D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Nasti M. 🟥,
- 90+9', Reca A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
37.3% | Draw
29.6% | Cremonese
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Spezia - Cremonese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.32) |
3.18 ↓
(3.25) |
2.88 ↓
(3.04) |
5.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spezia - Cremonese?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Cremonese will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Spezia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 0.
- Spezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Cremonese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Cremonese: Saro G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Soleri E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cremonese: Castagnetti M.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Cremonese?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cremonese won against Spezia?
Cremonese has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Cremonese were as follows:
29.05.2025
Cremonese
-
Spezia
0:0
09.05.2025
Spezia
-
Cremonese
2:3
14.09.2024
Cremonese
-
Spezia
1:1
20.01.2024
Spezia
-
Cremonese
0:1
05.11.2023
Cremonese
-
Spezia
3:0
Latest results of Cremonese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 46:22 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Monza | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 36:19 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 41:21 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Palermo | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 39:19 | 20 | 45 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Modena | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 7 | Cesena | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27:26 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Padova | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | Empoli | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Avellino | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 26 |
| 15 | Entella | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 | Reggiana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 17 | Mantova | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 23 |
| 18 | Spezia | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 20:30 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 | Bari | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19:36 | -17 | 20 |
| 20 | Pescara | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 27:48 | -21 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
