Result
2:1
04/06/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 38
- Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Australia | beIN Sports |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
Bulgaria | Ring |
Croatia | Arena Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Finland | CMore, CMore MAX |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Romania | Orange Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport |
Slovenia | Arena Sport |
Sweden | CMore Live |
United-kingdom | BT Sport |
World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Roma 52.4% | Draw 26.1% | Spezia 21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Roma - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↓ (1.85) |
3.61 ↓ (3.84) |
4.42 ↑ (4.21) |
5.6% (4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Roma - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
Roma will win
(92 of 104 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.32% – 94.6%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: ) and 17).
- Roma has the most likely position - 7 (67.88%), project points - 62, currently - 60, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (77.18%), project points - 32, currently - 31, a chance of relegated (23%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 59, importance 34, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma won 4.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Roma have a series of guest games.
- In this match Roma is a favorite.
- There will not play in Roma: Karsdorp R.
(Knee Injury)
Kumbulla M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Beck J.
(Foot Injury)
Holm E.
(Groin Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Sala J.
(Injury)
Zovko P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Caldara M.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Roma won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Spezia?
Roma has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Roma?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Spezia were as follows:
22.01.2023
Spezia
-
Roma
0:2
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B