Result
2:1
04/06/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 38
- Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Finland | CMore, CMore MAX |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Orange Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Live |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
 World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Roma
52.4% | Draw
26.1% | Spezia
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Roma - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.85) |
3.61 ↓
(3.84) |
4.42 ↑
(4.21) |
5.6%
(4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Roma - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
Roma will win
(92 of 104 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.32% – 94.6%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: ) and 17).
- Roma has the most likely position - 7 (67.88%), project points - 62, currently - 60, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (77.18%), project points - 32, currently - 31, a chance of relegated (23%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 59, importance 34, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma won 4.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Roma have a series of guest games.
- In this match Roma is a favorite.
- There will not play in Roma: Karsdorp R.
(Knee Injury)
Kumbulla M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Beck J.
(Foot Injury)
Holm E.
(Groin Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Sala J.
(Injury)
Zovko P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Caldara M.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Roma won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Spezia?
Roma has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Roma?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Spezia were as follows:
22.01.2023
Spezia
-
Roma
0:2
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 24 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 57:19 | 38 | 58 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 38:17 | 21 | 50 |
| 3 | Napoli | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Juventus | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 46 |
| 5 | AS Roma | 24 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 29:14 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Como | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 41 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 32:21 | 11 | 39 |
| 8 | Lazio | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 9 | Udinese | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 27:36 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 | Bologna | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Torino | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 14 | Parma | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Genoa | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 29:37 | -8 | 23 |
| 16 | Cremonese | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Lecce | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 15:31 | -16 | 21 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 27:38 | -11 | 18 |
| 19 | Pisa | 24 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 19:40 | -21 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
