Roma vs Spezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Roma - Spezia
Result
2:1
04/06/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaRing
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
finlandFinlandCMore, CMore MAX
hungaryHungarySport 2
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport
swedenSwedenCMore Live
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBT Sport
worldWorldSetanta Sports Eurasia

Chances of winning


Roma
52.4%
Draw
26.1%
Spezia
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 25.1% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 24.5% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Roma - Spezia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.85)
    3.61
    (3.84)
    4.42
    (4.21)
    5.6%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Roma - Spezia?
  • Users Predictions: Roma will win (92 of 104 users predict this - 88.46%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.32%94.6%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: ) and 17).
    • Roma has the most likely position - 7 (67.88%), project points - 62, currently - 60, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (77.18%), project points - 32, currently - 31, a chance of relegated (23%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 59, importance 34, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma won 4.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Roma have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Roma is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Roma: Karsdorp R. (Knee Injury) Kumbulla M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Spezia: Beck J. (Foot Injury) Holm E. (Groin Injury) Moutinho J. (Foot Injury) Sala J. (Injury) Zovko P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Spezia: Caldara M. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Roma won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Spezia were as follows:
    22.01.2023 Spezia - Roma 0:2
    Latest results of Roma
    31.05.2023 Sevilla - Roma 2:1
    27.05.2023 Fiorentina - Roma 2:1
    22.05.2023 Roma - Salernitana 2:2
    18.05.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Roma 0:0
    14.05.2023 Bologna - Roma 0:0
    Latest results of Spezia
    27.05.2023 Spezia - Torino 0:4
    21.05.2023 Lecce - Spezia 0:0
    13.05.2023 Spezia - Milan 2:0
    06.05.2023 Cremonese - Spezia 2:0
    03.05.2023 Atalanta - Spezia 3:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B