Result
2:1
04/06/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 38
- Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Finland | CMore, CMore MAX |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Live |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
 World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Roma
52.4% | Draw
26.1% | Spezia
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Roma - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.85) |
3.61 ↓
(3.84) |
4.42 ↑
(4.21) |
5.6%
(4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Roma - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
Roma will win
(92 of 104 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.32% – 94.6%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: ) and 17).
- Roma has the most likely position - 7 (67.88%), project points - 62, currently - 60, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (77.18%), project points - 32, currently - 31, a chance of relegated (23%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 59, importance 34, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma won 4.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Roma have a series of guest games.
- In this match Roma is a favorite.
- There will not play in Roma: Karsdorp R.
(Knee Injury)
Kumbulla M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Beck J.
(Foot Injury)
Holm E.
(Groin Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Sala J.
(Injury)
Zovko P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Caldara M.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Roma won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Spezia?
Roma has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Roma?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Spezia were as follows:
22.01.2023
Spezia
-
Roma
0:2
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82:31 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 70 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48:29 | 19 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58:30 | 28 | 65 |
| 5 | AS Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52:29 | 23 | 64 |
| 6 | Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 62 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 47:32 | 15 | 55 |
| 8 | Lazio | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Bologna | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 49 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 49 |
| 11 | Udinese | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 47 |
| 12 | Parma | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 39:58 | -19 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 37 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24:47 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27:53 | -26 | 28 |
| 19 | Verona ✔ | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24:57 | -33 | 20 |
| 20 | Pisa ✔ | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Verona is Relegated to Serie B
Pisa is Relegated to Serie B
