Result
2:2
26/02/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 24
- Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Udinese
54.3% | Draw
25.6% | Spezia
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-16.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Udinese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Udinese - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.65) |
3.74 ↓
(3.85) |
4.77 ↓
(5.19) |
4.2%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Udinese - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 42 - 71.2%). Spezia will win (votes: 9 - 15.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 59.6% – 82.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17).
- Udinese has the most likely position - 9 (15.19%), has project points - 51, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (24.22%), has project points - 33, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 55, small importance 27, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Udinese won 2.
- Recent matches Udinese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Spezia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Udinese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Udinese is a favorite.
- There will not play in Udinese: Bijol J.
(Yellow Cards)
Ebosse E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S.
(Knee Injury)
Holm E.
(Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Zoet J.
(Knee Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Udinese: Deulofeu G.
(Knee Injury)
Nestorovski I.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Udinese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams Udinese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Udinese won against Spezia?
Udinese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Udinese?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Spezia were as follows:
08.11.2022
Spezia
-
Udinese
1:1
Latest results of Udinese
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Juventus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Cremonese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Udinese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Lazio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Genoa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Verona | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Pisa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Lecce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
