Udinese vs Spezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Udinese - Spezia
Result
2:2
26/02/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 24
  • Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Chances of winning


Udinese
54.3%
Draw
25.6%
Spezia
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 24.6% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 16.2% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Udinese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Udinese - Spezia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.65)
    3.74
    (3.85)
    4.77
    (5.19)
    4.2%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Udinese - Spezia?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 42 - 71.2%). Spezia will win (votes: 9 - 15.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 59.6%82.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17).
    • Udinese has the most likely position - 9 (15.19%), has project points - 51, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (24.22%), has project points - 33, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 55, small importance 27, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Udinese won 2.
    • Recent matches Udinese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Spezia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Udinese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Udinese is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Udinese: Bijol J. (Yellow Cards) Ebosse E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S. (Knee Injury) Holm E. (Injury) Moutinho J. (Foot Injury) Zoet J. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Udinese: Deulofeu G. (Knee Injury) Nestorovski I. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Udinese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Udinese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Spezia were as follows:
    08.11.2022 Spezia - Udinese 1:1
    Latest results of Udinese
    18.02.2023 Inter Milan - Udinese 3:1
    12.02.2023 Udinese - Sassuolo 2:2
    05.02.2023 Torino - Udinese 1:0
    30.01.2023 Udinese - Verona 1:1
    22.01.2023 Sampdoria - Udinese 0:1
    Latest results of Spezia
    19.02.2023 Spezia - Juventus 0:2
    11.02.2023 Empoli - Spezia 2:2
    05.02.2023 Spezia - Napoli 0:3
    27.01.2023 Bologna - Spezia 2:0
    22.01.2023 Spezia - Roma 0:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B