Result
3:1
26/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.03 | 0.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
76% (317/415) | 79% (299/380) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.03 | 0.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.90 | 0.69 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
1 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
76% (317/415) | 79% (299/380) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (38/79) | 46% (36/78) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (85/134) | 65% (57/88) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (3/13) | 19% (4/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.85 | 1.14 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 1 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (10/18) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.69 | 1.90 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.31 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Sandoval T. ⚽, Bandiera N. (A),
- 32', Gaona M. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 45+2', Tapia R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽, Sandoval T. (A),
- 58', Lujan N. ↓, de Jesus M. ↑,
- 58', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Magallanes P. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez E. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 68', Huaccha R. ↓, Posito J. ↑,
- 68', Garro J. 🟨,
- 68', de la Cruz P. ↓, Vilca R. ↑,
- 68', Garro J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 78', Bandiera N. ↓, Ruidiaz R. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Reyes J. ⚽, Vilca R. (A),
- 88', 3 - 1, Posito J. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
- 88', Sandoval T. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 89', Rostaing J. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau 56.4% | Draw 24.6% | Sport Huancayo 19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.Sport Huancayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Huancayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Huancayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Grau - Sport Huancayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.66 ↓ (1.81) |
4.01 ↑ (3.7) |
5.53 ↑ (3.45) |
3.1% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Sport Huancayo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Huancayo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Huancayo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Grau is considered a favorite.
- There are questionable in Huancayo: Chavez A.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Sport Huancayo?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Huancayo won against Atlético Grau?
Sport Huancayo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Sport Huancayo were as follows:
02.05.2025
Sport Huancayo
-
Atlético Grau
3:0
17.10.2024
Sport Huancayo
-
Atlético Grau
1:3
06.05.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Huancayo
0:0
25.09.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Huancayo
0:0
06.05.2023
Sport Huancayo
-
Atlético Grau
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )