Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | K-Ball |
Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.93 | 1.04 |
Ball Possession |
---|
72% | 28% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
14 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
90% (554/616) | 71% (173/242) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.93 | 1.04 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.48 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
14 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
90% (554/616) | 71% (173/242) |
Long passes |
---|
74% (37/50) | 41% (23/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
84% (183/217) | 60% (48/80) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (11/45) | 42% (5/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.03 | 0.61 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (14/17) | 82% (9/11) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 40 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.84 | 0.48 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.16 | -1.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Vidales J. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
- 13', Fernandez A. ↓, Da Luz M. ↑,
- 22', Barreto G. 🟨,
- 34', Lora J. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Tavara M. ⚽, Gonzales C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Lutiger R. 🟨,
- 61', Gonzales C. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
- 61', Pacheco F. ↓, Moretti J. ↑,
- 63', Montenegro D. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 74', Lora J. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 75', Pasquini N. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
- 76', Cedron V. 🟨,
- 89', Barreto G. ↓, Ascues C. ↑,
- 90', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Castro M. ⚽, Alarcon J. (A),
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal 66.2% | Draw 20.1% | ADT Tarma 13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+3%)
Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.47) |
4.65 ↓ (5.1) |
6.79 ↑ (5.51) |
7.2% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2.
- Sporting Cristal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, ADT has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sporting Cristal is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in ADT: Desio G.
(Knee Injury)
Narvaez J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L.
(Injury)
Sosa L.
(Injury)
Sosa M.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against ADT Tarma?
Sporting Cristal has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Sporting Cristal?
ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma were as follows:
12.07.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Sporting Cristal
3:1
27.01.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
ADT Tarma
6:2
06.08.2023
ADT Tarma
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
04.03.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
29.09.2022
Sporting Cristal
-
ADT Tarma
4:2
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
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