Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Haro Sueldo D. M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/404) | 79% (244/308) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/404) | 79% (244/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (38/64) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (82/128) | 62% (50/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 60% (6/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Lutiger R. 🟨,
- 59', Cabellos A. ↓, Pasquini N. ↑,
- 59', Gonzalez S. ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
- 65', Ortiz J. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
- 65', Neira C. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
- 70', Da Silva B. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 72', Estrada J. 🟨,
- 73', Avila I. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
- 73', Caparo H. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 78', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
- 79', Noronha O. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
- 79', Cabellos C. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, Torrejon C. ⚽, Ramua A. (A),
- 82', Ramua A. 🟨,
- 88', Garces C. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Gonzales C. ⚽, Castro M. (A),
Chances of winning
Cienciano
48.7% | Draw
25.8% | Sporting Cristal
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Cienciano - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.98) |
3.63 ↑
(3.58) |
3.65 ↑
(3.55) |
7.8%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cienciano - Sporting Cristal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cienciano will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.
- Cienciano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Sporting Cristal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cienciano might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Ortiz D.
(Face Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Ballumbrosio D.
(Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:40. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Sporting Cristal?
Cienciano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Cienciano?
Sporting Cristal has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
27.07.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Cienciano
5:1
06.07.2024
Cienciano
-
Sporting Cristal
2:1
09.02.2024
Cienciano
-
Sporting Cristal
2:2
22.10.2023
Cienciano
-
Sporting Cristal
1:0
01.06.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
Cienciano
4:2
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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