Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 8
- Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (417/493) | 73% (212/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (417/493) | 73% (212/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (147/185) | 52% (37/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Jakobsen A. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Dubasin J. ⚽, Otero J. (A),
- 43', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Loum M. ↓, Kembo Y. ↑,
- 46', Sanchez D. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
- 47', Ruiz S. 🟨,
- 57', Campos G. 🟨,
- 60', Corredera A. 🟨,
- 62', Mamah K. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
- 62', Barri ↓, Doue M. ↑,
- 65', Kembo Y. 🟨,
- 66', Perrin L. ↓, Cortes O. ↑,
- 66', Corredera A. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
- 70', Alcazar 🟨,
- 71', Alcazar ↓, Tincho ↑,
- 77', Cortes O. 🟨,
- 82', Vazquez P. 🟨,
- 82', Ronaldo ↓, Gerenabarrena B. ↑,
- 82', Jakobsen A. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 86', Campos G. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 1, Camara O. ⚽, Tincho (A),
- 90+1', Smith J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Tincho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Castellón
49.8% | Draw
25.5% | Sporting de Gijón
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting de Gijón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Castellón - Sporting de Gijón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.99) |
3.66 ↓
(3.7) |
3.76 ↑
(3.38) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Castellón - Sporting de Gijón?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Sporting de Gijón (1.90) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Sporting de Gijón (3.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Castellón will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Sporting de Gijón (votes: 5 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 13).
- Castellón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sporting de Gijón is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Castellón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
De Nipoti T.
(Inactive)
Sienra A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J.
(Injury)
Curbelo E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Castellón: Brignani F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Otero J.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Sporting de Gijón?
Castellón has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Castellón?
Sporting de Gijón has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
05.05.2025
Castellón
-
Sporting de Gijón
4:3
14.10.2024
Sporting de Gijón
-
Castellón
2:1
Latest results of Castellón
Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
