Result
4:1
15/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 30
- Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Max |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (234/318) | 83% (398/477) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (234/318) | 83% (398/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 53% (24/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (77/125) | 76% (110/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 12', Vazquez K. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Calatrava A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 42', 1 - 1, Otero J. ⚽, Rosas G. (A),
- 45+5', Barri 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 1, Ferrari A. ⚽, Rosas G. (A),
- 50', Ferrari A. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
- 60', Corredera A. 🟨,
- 62', Santiago P. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 62', Barri ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 65', Mellot J. 🟥,
- 76', 3 - 1, Otero J. ⚽, Dubasin J. (A),
- 78', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
- 82', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 82', Jimenez A. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez M. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
- 84', Vazquez K. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 1, Garcia P. ⚽,
- 90+2', Dubasin J. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
- 90+4', Calatrava A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting de Gijón
27.9% | Draw
26.6% | Castellón
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting de Gijón's form might have worsened.Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sporting de Gijón - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(2.85) |
3.5 ↑
(3.31) |
2.09 ↓
(2.47) |
6.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sporting de Gijón - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Castellón will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sporting de Gijón (2.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Castellón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Cuenca A.
(Injury)
Gelabert Pina C.
(Yellow Cards)
Loum M.
(Injury)
Nacho Martin
(Injury)
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Ruiz S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Yanez R.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Castellón?
Sporting de Gijón has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Sporting de Gijón?
Castellón has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting de Gijón - Castellón were as follows:
05.10.2025
Castellón
-
Sporting de Gijón
3:1
05.05.2025
Castellón
-
Sporting de Gijón
4:3
14.10.2024
Sporting de Gijón
-
Castellón
2:1
Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
