Result
4:3
05/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 38
- Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Greece | Nova Sports Start |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.06 | 2.94 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
78% (310/398) | 73% (270/370) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.06 | 2.94 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.71 | 2.58 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
78% (310/398) | 73% (270/370) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (24/60) | 36% (28/77) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (91/136) | 58% (73/125) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (2/14) | 20% (3/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.66 | 0.88 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 29 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (15/25) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
70 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
38 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.58 | 2.71 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.42 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
- 19', Otero J. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Otero J. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
- 45+5', Sanchez D. 🟨,
- 45+6', Moyita S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', Crettaz G. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 2, Otero J. (Pen),
- 57', Escobar J. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 2, Jimenez A. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
- 69', Serrano N. ↓, Rosas G. ↑,
- 71', 4 - 2, Vazquez K. (Own goal),
- 75', Calatrava A. ↓, Zarfino G. ↑,
- 75', Olaetxea L. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
- 75', Pier R. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
- 82', Vazquez K. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
- 85', Mabil A. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
- 85', Sanchez R. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 86', Moyita S. ↓, Jojic M. ↑,
- 87', Chirino D. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 3, Otero J. ⚽, Garcia P. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mrxbbpxa
Chances of winning
Castellón 55.3% | Draw 25.3% | Sporting de Gijón 19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Castellón - Sporting de Gijón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.82) |
3.72 ↑ (3.68) |
4.83 ↑ (3.93) |
6% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Castellón - Sporting de Gijón?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 and 16)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Mamah K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J.
(Injury)
Caicedo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Campos G.
(Muscle Injury)
Curbelo E.
(Injury)
Dotor C.
(Injury)
Rosas G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Castellón: Cipenga B.
(Injury)
Ruiz S.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Sporting de Gijón?
Castellón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Castellón?
Sporting de Gijón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
14.10.2024
Sporting de Gijón
-
Castellón
2:1
Latest results of Castellón
Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Castellon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Cadiz CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Burgos CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huesca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Dep. La Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Zaragoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cultural Leonesa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Ceuta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Granada CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Mirandes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation