Castellón vs Sporting de Gijón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón
Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 8
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.87
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
85% (417/493)73% (212/292)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.741.71
Total shots
125
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
30
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
3615
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
85% (417/493)73% (212/292)
Long passes
53% (26/49)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
79% (147/185)52% (37/71)
Crosses
21% (4/19)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.45
Throw-ins
2322
Fouls
1318
Tackles
62% (8/13)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5758
Clearances
1634
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.711.74
Goals prevented
0.71-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Jakobsen A. , Cipenga B. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Dubasin J. , Otero J. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Loum M. , Kembo Y. ,
  • 46', Sanchez D. , Garcia P. ,
  • 47', Ruiz S. 🟨,
  • 57', Campos G. 🟨,
  • 60', Corredera A. 🟨,
  • 62', Mamah K. , Santiago P. ,
  • 62', Barri , Doue M. ,
  • 65', Kembo Y. 🟨,
  • 66', Perrin L. , Cortes O. ,
  • 66', Corredera A. , Smith J. ,
  • 70', Alcazar 🟨,
  • 71', Alcazar , Tincho ,
  • 77', Cortes O. 🟨,
  • 82', Vazquez P. 🟨,
  • 82', Ronaldo , Gerenabarrena B. ,
  • 82', Jakobsen A. , Camara O. ,
  • 86', Campos G. , Coundoul A. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Camara O. , Tincho (A),
  • 90+1', Smith J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tincho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Castellón
49.8%
Draw
25.5%
Sporting de Gijón
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 25.3% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 21.9% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting de Gijón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Castellón - Sporting de Gijón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.99)
    3.66
    (3.7)
    3.76
    (3.38)
    6.7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Castellón - Sporting de Gijón?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Sporting de Gijón (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 13).
    • Castellón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sporting de Gijón is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Castellón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) De Nipoti T. (Inactive) Sienra A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Brignani F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Otero J. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón 4:3
    14.10.2024 Sporting de Gijón - Castellón 2:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    29.09.2025 Leganés - Castellón 0:1
    20.09.2025 Leonesa - Castellón 1:3
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3
    05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander1061324:17719
    2Las Palmas1053211:6518
    3Cadiz CF1053211:9218
    4Dep. La Coruna1044218:11716
    5Almeria1044219:17216
    6Burgos CF1043316:11515
    7Valladolid1043312:9315
    8Andorra1043313:13015
    9Gijon1050516:17-115
    10Ceuta1043310:12-215
    11Leganes1035210:7314
    12Albacete1034315:16-113
    13Cordoba1034311:13-213
    14Huesca94148:11-313
    15Eibar1033411:10112
    16Castellon1033413:13012
    17Cultural Leonesa1032512:13-111
    18Malaga103259:12-311
    19Granada CF1024411:15-410
    20Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    21Mirandes102359:14-59
    22Zaragoza101366:17-116

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