Minnesota United 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.22
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
85% (410/482)84% (406/481)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.371.60
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2527
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
85% (410/482)84% (406/481)
Long passes
60% (50/83)41% (13/32)
Passes in final third
77% (99/128)76% (94/124)
Crosses
20% (2/10)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.16
Throw-ins
1215
Fouls
1415
Tackles
55% (11/20)59% (10/17)
Duels won
6342
Clearances
1312
Interceptions
1517
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.602.37
Goals prevented
0.60-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', Uderitz H. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Chandler K. , Dorsey L. (A), Dieng M. (A2)
  • 27', 2 - 0, Dorsey L. (Pen),
  • 28', Cruz-Ayala L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cruz-Ayala L. , Tschantret M. ,
  • 48', Uderitz B. , Derksen C. ,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Romanshyn K. , Farina A. (A),
  • 50', 3 - 1, Samways A. ,
  • 61', Romanshyn K. , Schumacher B. ,
  • 61', Kiingi K. , Torres R. ,
  • 61', Dorsey L. , Saidi I. ,
  • 69', Ortiz J. , Loyo Reynaga Z. ,
  • 70', Randell A. , Sosnouski J. ,
  • 76', Samways A. , Francka J. ,
  • 78', Torres R. 🟨,
  • 85', Farina A. , Grulke C. ,

Chances of winning


Minnesota United 2
57.6%
Draw
21.1%
Sporting Kansas City II
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 18.6% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 17.9% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United 2's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Kansas City II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Kansas City II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.35)
    4.43
    (4.9)
    4.4
    (6.5)
    6.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Sporting KC II (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Sporting KC II (1.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Sporting KC II (1.34) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Sporting KC II (2.49) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting KC II (votes: 10 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sporting KC II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sporting KC II has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Minnesota 2 is the team to beat.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 2.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 2.3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:2
    09.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Minnesota United 2 2:4
    22.09.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Minnesota United 2 2:4
    02.06.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:4
    28.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Minnesota United 2 4:1
    Latest results of Minnesota United 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

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