Sporting Kansas City II vs Ventura County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.34
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
89% (476/535)85% (366/429)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.521.72
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
95
Passes
89% (476/535)85% (366/429)
Long passes
58% (15/26)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
84% (141/168)73% (104/142)
Crosses
27% (4/15)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.681.12
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
59
Tackles
73% (8/11)78% (7/9)
Duels won
2817
Clearances
1918
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.720.52
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', Bucknor J. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Karani S. , Bucknor J. (A), Sullivan N. (A2)
  • 45', 1 - 1, Goumballe M. , Uderitz H. (A),
  • 45+1', Derksen C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ortiz J. , Alexandre M. ,
  • 46', Wantland Z. , Samways A. ,
  • 58', Bucknor J. , Vivi Quesada G. ,
  • 64', Uderitz H. , Clarke N. ,
  • 70', Middleby M. , Martinez E. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Vivi Quesada G. , Karani S. (A),
  • 73', Derksen C. , Loyo Reynaga Z. ,
  • 79', Quintero G. , Uderitz B. ,
  • 89', Karani S. , Saribekyan L. ,
  • 89', Tsakiris M. , Arnold G. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Kansas City II
31.5%
Draw
23.7%
Ventura County
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 22.9% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 22.3% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Kansas City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Kansas City II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Sporting Kansas City II - Ventura County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.58)
    3.92
    (4.01)
    2.08
    (2.21)
    7.6%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Sporting KC II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ventura County is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sporting KC II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sporting KC II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City II - Ventura County were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Ventura County - Sporting Kansas City II 1:1
    24.03.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Ventura County 1:3
    Latest results of Ventura County
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

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