Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Canada | TSN 5 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (460/535) | 85% (482/565) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (460/535) | 85% (482/565) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 63% (29/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (68/103) | 73% (107/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Moreno S. ⚽, Pereira da Costa D. (A), Antony (A2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bartlett J. ↓, Davis J. ↑,
- 67', Bravo C. 🟨,
- 68', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
- 68', Ayala D. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
- 69', Leibold T. ↓, Bassong Z. ↑,
- 69', Brody A. ↓, Shelton K. ↑,
- 69', Salloi D. ↓, Thommy E. ↑,
- 73', Suleymanov S. 🟨,
- 74', Davis J. 🟨,
- 78', Moreno S. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 78', Pereira da Costa D. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 81', Suleymanov S. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 84', Mosquera J. ↓, Miller E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portland Timbers 57.9% | Draw 21.7% | Sporting Kansas City 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Kansas City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↓ (1.95) |
4.42 ↑ (3.86) |
4.67 ↑ (3.58) |
4.9% (5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Portland (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Portland Timbers will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 3.
- Portland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kansas City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Portland is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Portland: Chara D.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Portland: Fory J.
(Leg Injury)
Jura S.
(Injury)
Ondo C.
(Injury)
Pantemis J.
(Leg Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J.
(Muscle Injury)
Shelton K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers won against Sporting Kansas City?
Portland Timbers has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City won against Portland Timbers?
Sporting Kansas City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
13.04.2025
Sporting Kansas City
-
Portland Timbers
2:4
25.05.2024
Portland Timbers
-
Sporting Kansas City
2:1
07.04.2024
Sporting Kansas City
-
Portland Timbers
3:3
28.05.2023
Sporting Kansas City
-
Portland Timbers
4:1
27.02.2023
Portland Timbers
-
Sporting Kansas City
1:0
Latest results of Portland Timbers
Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal