Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Canada | TSN 5 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.12 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
86% (460/535) | 85% (482/565) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.12 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.95 | 0.51 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
0 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
6 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
86% (460/535) | 85% (482/565) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (24/57) | 63% (29/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (68/103) | 73% (107/147) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.23 | 0.74 |
Throw-ins |
---|
7 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 79% (11/14) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.51 | 0.95 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.51 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Moreno S. ⚽, Pereira da Costa D. (A), Antony (A2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bartlett J. ↓, Davis J. ↑,
- 67', Bravo C. 🟨,
- 68', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
- 68', Ayala D. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
- 69', Leibold T. ↓, Bassong Z. ↑,
- 69', Brody A. ↓, Shelton K. ↑,
- 69', Salloi D. ↓, Thommy E. ↑,
- 73', Suleymanov S. 🟨,
- 74', Davis J. 🟨,
- 78', Moreno S. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 78', Pereira da Costa D. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 81', Suleymanov S. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 84', Mosquera J. ↓, Miller E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portland Timbers 57.9% | Draw 21.7% | Sporting Kansas City 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Kansas City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↓ (1.95) |
4.42 ↑ (3.86) |
4.67 ↑ (3.58) |
4.9% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Portland (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Portland Timbers will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 3.
- Portland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kansas City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Portland is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Portland: Chara D.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Portland: Fory J.
(Leg Injury)
Jura S.
(Injury)
Ondo C.
(Injury)
Pantemis J.
(Leg Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J.
(Muscle Injury)
Shelton K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers won against Sporting Kansas City?
Portland Timbers has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City won against Portland Timbers?
Sporting Kansas City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
13.04.2025
Sporting Kansas City
-
Portland Timbers
2:4
25.05.2024
Portland Timbers
-
Sporting Kansas City
2:1
07.04.2024
Sporting Kansas City
-
Portland Timbers
3:3
28.05.2023
Sporting Kansas City
-
Portland Timbers
4:1
27.02.2023
Portland Timbers
-
Sporting Kansas City
1:0
Latest results of Portland Timbers
Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Austin FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 33 |
8 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 31 |
9 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 29 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 50 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 49 |
3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
7 | Charlotte | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 43:39 | 4 | 38 |
8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 35 |
10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 21 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | -27 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)