Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Neves G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Arsenio ⚽,
- 22', Josue Sa 🟨,
- 37', Silva J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nel R. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
- 48', Bruno Ramos 🟨,
- 58', Silva J. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 59', Fabinho ↓, Martins R. ↑,
- 63', Bruno Ramos ↓, Bafdili Z. ↑,
- 63', Moreira D. ↓, Rayan Lucas ↑,
- 63', Justo S. ↓, Tanlongo M. ↑,
- 69', Teixeira M. ↓, Mimito ↑,
- 73', Dias R. 🟨,
- 78', Couto M. 🟨,
- 81', Mendonca M. ↓, Taibo Dominguez L. ↑,
- 83', Tanlongo M. 🟨,
- 83', Arsenio 🟨,
- 84', Danny ↓, Mesquita T. ↑,
- 84', Arsenio ↓, Collard D. ↑,
- 86', Silverio 🟨,
- 90+3', Pereira M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lusitânia
35.2% | Draw
29.3% | Sporting Lisbon B
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-4%)
Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.4) |
3.12 ↑
(2.8) |
2.58 ↓
(2.9) |
9.3%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B?
Users Predictions:
Lusitânia will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lusitânia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Sporting B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Sporting Lisbon B?
Lusitânia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon B won against Lusitânia?
Sporting Lisbon B has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B were as follows:
25.10.2025
Sporting Lisbon B
-
Lusitânia
4:0
05.04.2025
Lusitânia
-
Sporting Lisbon B
2:1
07.02.2025
Sporting Lisbon B
-
Lusitânia
1:0
Latest results of Lusitânia
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
