Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
44.8%
Draw
27.3%
Sporting Lisbon
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 25.8% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.3% 25%

Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.12
(1.99)
3.53
(3.74)
3.41
(3.79)
4.8%
(3.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.18%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Athletic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Sporting has had a series of home games.
    • Athletic might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Athletic Bilbao 3:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
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    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 770020:21821
    2Bayern Munich ✔ 760120:71318
    3Real Madrid750219:81115
    4Liverpool750214:8615
    5Tottenham742115:7814
    6PSG741220:101013
    7Newcastle741216:61013
    8Chelsea741214:8613
    9Barcelona741218:13513
    10Sporting CP741214:9513
    11Manchester City741213:9413
    12Atl. Madrid741216:13313
    13Atalanta741210:9113
    14Inter740313:7612
    15Juventus733114:10412
    16Dortmund732219:15411
    17Galatasaray73139:9010
    18Qarabag731313:15-210
    19Marseille730411:1109
    20Bayer Leverkusen723210:14-49
    21Monaco72328:14-69
    22PSV722315:1418
    23Ath Bilbao72237:11-48
    24Olympiacos Piraeus72238:13-58
    25Napoli72237:12-58
    26FC Copenhagen722311:17-68
    27Club Brugge KV721412:17-57
    28Bodo/Glimt713312:14-26
    29Benfica72056:10-46
    30Pafos71334:10-66
    31Royale Union SG72057:17-106
    32Ajax72057:19-126
    33Eintracht Frankfurt711510:19-94
    34Slavia Prague70344:15-113
    35Villarreal70165:15-101
    36Kairat Almaty70165:19-141

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    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)