Result
0:3
29/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Nova Sport |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (179/244) | 86% (410/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 32 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (179/244) | 86% (410/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (22/46) | 67% (14/21) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (24/38) | 81% (132/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.65 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Montoia G. 🟨,
- 24', Keliano M. 🟨,
- 26', Lopes M. ↓, Pantalon R. ↑,
- 34', Montoia G. 🟨,
- 45+3', Bucca L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Fresneda I. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
- 46', Keliano M. ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
- 46', Bucca L. ↓, Varela N. ↑,
- 48', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
- 54', Pantalon R. 🟨,
- 56', Ferro 🟨,
- 60', Ruiz A. ↓, Jovane ↑,
- 67', Matheus Reis 🟨,
- 70', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Chico Banza ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Quenda G. ⚽, Gyokeres V. (A),
- 84', Trincao ↓, Harder C. ↑,
- 84', Matheus Reis ↓, Esgaio R. ↑,
- 88', Lima R. 🟥,
- 89', 0 - 3, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
- 90+2', Quenda G. ↓, Biel ↑,
- 90+2', Felicissimo E. ↓, Arreiol H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
10.1% | Draw
18.6% | Sporting Lisbon
71.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.28 ↑
(8.4) |
5.16 ↓
(5.18) |
1.33 ↓
(1.33) |
5.4%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Sporting will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 56% – 94%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Recent matches Estrela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sporting in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Sporting is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Estrela: Leo Cordeiro
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting: Araujo M.
(Red Card)
Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Brito A.
(Muscle Injury)
Hjulmand M.
(Yellow Cards)
Morita H.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
Simoes J.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Goncalves P.
(Muscle Injury)
St. Juste J.
(Leg Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:14 (average 1.3:3.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Sporting Lisbon?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Estrela da Amadora?
Sporting Lisbon has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
01.11.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estrela da Amadora
5:1
29.03.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:2
05.11.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:2
14.07.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estrela da Amadora
4:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
