Result
4:0
30/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 12
- Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 0.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (537/589) | 86% (304/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (537/589) | 86% (304/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (23/31) | 57% (20/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (113/142) | 69% (27/39) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 74% (20/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -1.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Quaresma E. ⚽, Trincao (A),
- 11', 2 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Trincao (A),
- 25', 3 - 0, Fresneda I. ⚽,
- 27', Araujo M. 🟨,
- 33', Chernev A. ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Araujo M. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
- 46', Montoia G. ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
- 55', 4 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Morita H. (A),
- 60', Fresneda I. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
- 60', Catamo G. ↓, Goncalves P. ↑,
- 66', Jovane ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 78', Hjulmand M. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
- 78', Trincao ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 79', Kikas ↓, Gastao J. ↑,
- 79', Marcus A. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
83.6% | Draw
11% | Estrela da Amadora
5.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.13 ↑
(1.1) |
8.83 ↓
(9.91) |
17.85 ↓
(19.96) |
5.1%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 20 - 90.9%). Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- Sporting is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Estrela has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Estrela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Debast Z.
(Injury)
Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Estrela: Ni
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Goncalves P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 3.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Estrela da Amadora?
Sporting Lisbon has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Sporting Lisbon?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
29.03.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:3
01.11.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estrela da Amadora
5:1
29.03.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:2
05.11.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:2
14.07.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estrela da Amadora
4:1
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 44:7 | 37 | 62 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 59:12 | 47 | 58 |
| 3 | Benfica | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 49:13 | 36 | 55 |
| 4 | Braga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | Estoril | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:39 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | Alverca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23:38 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Arouca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31:49 | -18 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 25:43 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 | Nacional | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:29 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Tondela | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17:36 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | AFS | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
