Result
0:3
21/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 23
- Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Portugal | TVI |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (289/349) | 88% (511/581) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (289/349) | 88% (511/581) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (14/40) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (39/64) | 73% (103/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Diomande O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 52', 0 - 1, Trincao ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
- 56', Rodri 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 2, Catamo G. ⚽, Trincao (A),
- 65', Kiko Bondoso ↓, John N. ↑,
- 65', Rodri ↓, Landerson ↑,
- 65', Morita H. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
- 70', Yan Maranhao ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 3, Suarez L. ⚽,
- 78', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
- 78', Catamo G. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
- 78', Fresneda I. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
- 80', Stjepanovic M. ↓, Assis A. ↑,
- 81', Pinto D. ↓, Santos L. ↑,
- 83', Luis Guilherme ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Moreirense
8.1% | Draw
16.5% | Sporting Lisbon
75.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.41 ↑
(9.5) |
5.75
(5.75) |
1.26 ↓
(1.33) |
5.4%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Sporting will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
- Recent performances by Moreirense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sporting is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Caio
(Inactive)
Michel
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sporting: Debast Z.
(Injury)
Goncalves P.
(Yellow Cards)
Kochorashvili G.
(Inactive)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 12:40. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Sporting Lisbon?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Moreirense?
Sporting Lisbon has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
22.09.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Moreirense
3:0
18.04.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Moreirense
3:1
05.12.2024
Moreirense
-
Sporting Lisbon
2:1
19.02.2024
Moreirense
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:2
17.09.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Moreirense
3:0
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
