Result
1:2
23/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (237/313) | 81% (317/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (237/313) | 81% (317/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (56/104) | 68% (69/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Ocampos C. ⚽,
- 20', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 32', Falabella A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Aranda S. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
- 46', Leguizamon A. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,
- 46', Rojas R. ↓, Gimenez C. ↑,
- 61', Mendieta W. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
- 62', Vera F. ↓, Vera E. ↑,
- 62', Contrera A. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Perez E. ⚽, Vallejos J. (A),
- 76', Ocampos C. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
- 77', Morinigo G. 🟨,
- 77', Martinez F. 🟥,
- 80', Roldan M. ↓, Manzur G. ↑,
- 80', Larralde V. ↓, Ayala L. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Vera E. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Rubio Ñu
31.1% | Draw
31.7% | Sportivo Ameliano
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.84) |
2.91 ↓
(3.23) |
2.49 ↑
(2.45) |
8.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Ameliano?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 6).
- Rubio Ñu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sportivo Ameliano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sportivo Ameliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Rubio Ñu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubio Ñu won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Rubio Ñu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Rubio Ñu?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
25.01.2026
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Rubio Ñu
2:2
Latest results of Rubio Ñu
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Guarani | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
