Result
0:1
26/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (352/442) | 77% (324/422) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (352/442) | 77% (324/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (39/78) | 28% (18/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (61/95) | 57% (76/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Barrios J. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
- 57', Ferreira R. ↓, Leguizamon A. ↑,
- 57', Montiel L. ↓, Alborno R. ↑,
- 60', Cabanas V. 🟨,
- 68', Duarte J. ↓, Esteche L. ↑,
- 68', Martinez F. ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 1, Cardozo Lucena A. ⚽, Mendieta W. (A),
- 77', Rojas R. 🟨,
- 80', Villamayor H. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
- 80', Galeano A. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
- 80', Torres I. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 81', Mendieta W. ↓, Manzur G. ↑,
- 82', Gimenez C. ↓, Alvarez Benitez P. ↑,
- 85', Meza Montiel D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo San Lorenzo
34.1% | Draw
31.9% | Rubio Ñu
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(2.78) |
2.89 ↓
(2.95) |
2.73 ↑
(2.68) |
7.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Rubio Ñu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo San Lorenzo won against Rubio Ñu?
Sportivo San Lorenzo has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubio Ñu won against Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Rubio Ñu has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu were as follows:
26.02.2026
Rubio Ñu
-
Sportivo San Lorenzo
2:0
20.07.2025
Rubio Ñu
-
Sportivo San Lorenzo
2:1
14.04.2025
Sportivo San Lorenzo
-
Rubio Ñu
0:1
02.09.2024
Rubio Ñu
-
Sportivo San Lorenzo
0:1
28.05.2024
Sportivo San Lorenzo
-
Rubio Ñu
3:2
Latest results of Sportivo San Lorenzo
Latest results of Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion ✔ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Guarani | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 25 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12:41 | -29 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olimpia Asuncion is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
