Result
0:1
04/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Quinonez A. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.51 | 1.66 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
76% (352/466) | 66% (214/322) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.51 | 1.66 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.12 | 1.46 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 8 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
76% (352/466) | 66% (214/322) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (41/82) | 31% (20/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (72/120) | 54% (48/89) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (10/34) | 25% (1/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.98 | 0.37 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
43% (6/14) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 36 |
Clearances Total |
---|
26 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.46 | 0.12 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.46 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Romero J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Samudio A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ortiz L. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 46', Barreto D. ↓, Ocampos C. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, Camacho N. (Pen),
- 67', Martinez C. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 67', Roman J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 68', Paez A. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 68', Falabella L. ↓, Aranda P. ↑,
- 73', Alonso M. 🟨,
- 75', Camacho N. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
- 80', Romero J. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
- 80', De la Cruz L. ↓, Gaona M. ↑,
- 80', Samudio A. ↓, Sarquis E. ↑,
- 84', Gimenez O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano 36.8% | Draw 30.5% | Sportivo Trinidense 32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Sportivo Ameliano aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↑ (2.53) |
3.01 ↑ (2.97) |
2.82 ↓ (2.9) |
8.4% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Ameliano won 3.
- Sportivo Ameliano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Sportivo Trinidense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sportivo Ameliano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Sportivo Ameliano won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8:19 (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Ameliano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
24.01.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
18.10.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:0
10.08.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Sportivo Ameliano
3:0
17.05.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Sportivo Trinidense
0:2
25.02.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Guarani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
5 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
7 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
8 | Libertad Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
9 | Recoleta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Ameliano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
11 | General Caballero JLM | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
12 | Atl. Tembetary | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )