Result
1:1
20/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (327/427) | 61% (177/290) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (327/427) | 61% (177/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (34/78) | 29% (23/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (55/88) | 41% (45/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Vera E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 13', Santa C. R. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Benitez H. A. ⚽, Ramirez Antunez R. C. (A),
- 30', Paredes A. 🟨,
- 34', Portillo F. 🟨,
- 36', Canete Torres A. D. 🟨,
- 43', Franco F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Portillo F. ↓, Ayala L. ↑,
- 50', Caceres L. 🟨,
- 63', Vargas S. 🟨,
- 63', Caceres L. ↓, Colman Escobar D. J. ↑,
- 64', Santa C. R. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 72', Sanguina J. ↓, Bruno L. ↑,
- 76', Benitez H. A. ↓, Santacruz J. ↑,
- 76', Feliu J. ↓, Espinola C. ↑,
- 81', Larralde V. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
- 81', Cabral R. ↓, Contrera A. ↑,
- 88', Prieto R. ↓, Vega T. ↑,
- 90+1', Vera E. ↓, Avalos A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
34% | Draw
32.5% | Nacional Asuncion
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.74) |
2.86 ↓
(2.98) |
2.81 ↑
(2.7) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 3.
- Sportivo Ameliano is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 8 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Nacional Asuncion has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
19.02.2026
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
20.11.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
29.08.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Nacional Asuncion
3:0
04.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
22.02.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion ✔ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Guarani | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 25 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12:41 | -29 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olimpia Asuncion is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
