Grêmio vs Sportivo Luqueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Grêmio - Sportivo Luqueño
Result
1:0
29/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.410.08
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
293
Shots on target
111
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
88% (462/524)66% (144/217)
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
4.410.08
xG on target (xGOT)
3.770.08
Total shots
293
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
110
Shots inside the Box
250
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
593
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
88% (462/524)66% (144/217)
Long passes
61% (17/28)26% (16/61)
Passes in final third
74% (114/154)52% (29/56)
Crosses
32% (12/38)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.720.07
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
1212
Tackles
82% (14/17)73% (11/15)
Duels won
7049
Clearances
2648
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
110
xGOT faced
0.083.77
Goals prevented
0.082.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Arezo M. (Pen),
  • 38', Vera E. 🟥,
  • 41', Nathan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Viery , Andre Henrique ,
  • 63', Camilo Reijers , Cristaldo F. ,
  • 63', Nathan , Olivera C. ,
  • 63', Aravena A. , Freitas dos Santos R. ,
  • 69', Pereira K. , Comas L. ,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Freitas dos Santos R. , Pavon C. (A),
  • 76', Arezo M. , Jardiel ,
  • 80', Benitez A. , Maldonado S. ,
  • 83', Alborno R. , Torres I. ,
  • 85', Benitez F. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grêmio
79.5%
Draw
14.3%
Sportivo Luqueño
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
80% 14.6% 5.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Grêmio - Sportivo Luqueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.17)
    6.66
    (6.42)
    15.55
    (17.2)
    6.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio - Sportivo Luqueño?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Grêmio has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Grêmio is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grêmio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Grêmio 1:2
    Latest results of Grêmio
    25.05.2025 Grêmio - Bahia 1:0
    20.05.2025 Grêmio - CS Alagoano 0:0
    17.05.2025 São Paulo - Grêmio 2:1
    13.05.2025 Grêmio - Godoy Cruz 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1U. Catolica
    2TBD #3Independiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5TBD #9Cienciano
    6TBD #11Godoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8TBD #15Huracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2