Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (370/454) | 65% (154/238) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (370/454) | 65% (154/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (45/71) | 47% (35/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (103/150) | 48% (43/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Sosa P. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
- 22', Davalos Valdez V. 🟨,
- 31', Baruja F. 🟨,
- 45+3', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Cano Esteche A. B. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 58', Romero F. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 58', Zarza P. ↓, Rayer T. ↑,
- 59', Romero O. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
- 59', Farina A. ↓, Ayala W. ↑,
- 65', Marcelino J. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 65', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 71', Baruja F. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
- 75', De la Cruz L. 🟨,
- 82', Delvalle P. ↓, Alfonso E. ↑,
- 82', Ruiz Diaz R. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Caceres Aguero F. M. ⚽,
- 88', Roman Torales F. J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
2 de Mayo
44.8% | Draw
30.4% | Sportivo Trinidense
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 2 de Mayo's performance.Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Trinidense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 2 de Mayo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Trinidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
2 de Mayo - Sportivo Trinidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.91) |
3.07 ↓
(3.09) |
3.76 ↑
(2.48) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo - Sportivo Trinidense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. 2 de Mayo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - 2 de Mayo (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - 2 de Mayo (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
2 de Mayo will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. 2 de Mayo (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 0.
- Recent form of 2 de Mayo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Sportivo Trinidense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- 2 de Mayo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Sportivo Trinidense?
2 de Mayo has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against 2 de Mayo?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 2 de Mayo - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
25.10.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
2 de Mayo
2:1
08.08.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Trinidense
0:2
09.05.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
2 de Mayo
2:1
02.03.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
26.10.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
2 de Mayo
0:0
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Recoleta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Ameliano | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Sp. Luqueno | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Guarani | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:22 | -18 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
