Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.100.73
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
63
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
46
Passes
71% (228/322)76% (303/398)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.100.73
xG on target (xGOT)
2.110.61
Total shots
129
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
01
Shots inside the box
105
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
517
Passes
71% (228/322)76% (303/398)
Long passes
51% (31/61)33% (22/67)
Passes in final third
59% (76/129)61% (59/97)
Crosses
13% (2/16)8% (2/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.36
Throw ins
3020
Fouls
166
Tackles
68% (15/22)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5267
Clearances
3127
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.612.11
Goals prevented
-0.390.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Romero F. , Morinigo A. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Galeano A. , Torres I. (A),
  • 28', Franco L. , Cristoforo F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Torres I. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Gauto N. ,
  • 56', Canete A. 🟨,
  • 65', Barrios J. , Colman C. ,
  • 65', Duarte J. , Cespedes V. ,
  • 69', Mana N. , Rayer T. ,
  • 69', Canete A. , Ruiz Diaz A. ,
  • 77', Torres I. , Jara T. ,
  • 77', Villamayor H. , Quinonez A. ,
  • 77', Romero F. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 80', Jara T. 🟨,
  • 81', Viera G. , Gimenez O. ,
  • 81', Gonzalez C. , Camacho N. ,
  • 86', Caceres L. 🟨,
  • 86', Morinigo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sportivo Trinidense
51.9%
Draw
27.3%
Sportivo San Lorenzo
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 27.1% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 26.2% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.78)
    3.45
    (3.45)
    4.45
    (4.58)
    7.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo San Lorenzo?
  • Users Predictions: Sportivo Trinidense will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 12).
    • Sportivo Trinidense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sportivo San Lorenzo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Sportivo Trinidense is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Sportivo Trinidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo San Lorenzo were as follows:
    19.02.2026 Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Trinidense 1:1
    08.10.2022 Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo San Lorenzo 2:0
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion17123228:121639
    2Cerro Porteno17104326:141234
    3Ameliano1878322:15729
    4Nacional Asuncion1878325:19629
    5Sportivo Trinidense1868423:18526
    6Guarani1867525:20525
    7Libertad Asuncion1873825:22324
    8Recoleta1864827:24322
    9Rubio Nu1863914:21-721
    10Sp. Luqueno18531021:28-718
    112 de Mayo1836914:33-1915
    12San Lorenzo18151212:36-248

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