Result
3:2
23/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (200/291) | 77% (339/439) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (200/291) | 77% (339/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (21/70) | 41% (27/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (56/102) | 55% (59/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Espinola J. (Own goal),
- 32', 2 - 0, Gonzalez L. ⚽, Rayer T. (A),
- 37', 2 - 1, Wlk A. ⚽, Rios P. (A),
- 41', Espinola J. 🟨,
- 45', Marcelino J. ↓, Gauto N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Parzajuk K. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 46', Baez W. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 48', Nunez J. 🟨,
- 50', Viera G. 🟨,
- 60', Nunez J. ↓, Monzon L. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez L. ↓, Baruja F. ↑,
- 68', Camacho N. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Ortiz R. ⚽,
- 75', Lopez H. ↓, Pacher F. ↑,
- 79', Monzon L. 🟨,
- 80', 🟨,
- 81', Benitez C. ↓, Ruiz Diaz A. ↑,
- 81', Rayer T. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Valdez B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Dominguez R. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Trinidense
41.8% | Draw
30% | Deportivo Recoleta
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Trinidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.04) |
3.07 ↓
(3.3) |
3.3 ↓
(3.51) |
8.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Trinidense: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Sportivo Trinidense might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
23.01.2026
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
14.09.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:3
04.07.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Trinidense
2:4
26.05.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:2
21.03.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:1
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
