Result
0:0
20/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (272/377) | 66% (206/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (272/377) | 66% (206/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (36/91) | 31% (24/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (82/130) | 60% (72/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (17/19) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Samudio V. ↓, Dufour M. ↑,
- 29', Viera G. 🟨,
- 45+5', Servin T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 62', Roman J. ↓, Rayer T. ↑,
- 62', Viera G. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
- 62', Alvarez A. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez F. ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
- 67', Ramirez I. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 79', Baez Mendoza R. ↓, Zarza P. ↑,
- 82', Martinez L. 🟨,
- 85', Mendoza S. 🟨,
- 90', Salcedo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
28.5% | Draw
29.6% | Sportivo Trinidense
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Trinidense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Trinidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.35) |
3.1 ↓
(3.18) |
2.21 ↓
(3.01) |
8.3%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 2.
- Guaraní is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sportivo Trinidense is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sportivo Trinidense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sportivo Trinidense might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
01.06.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:1
27.03.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:3
27.09.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
26.07.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
01.06.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | General Caballero JLM | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
