Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (169/288) | 69% (203/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (169/288) | 69% (203/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (25/81) | 45% (33/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (56/127) | 59% (52/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 62 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
- 54', Ramirez I. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 54', Coronel P. ↓, Servin T. ↑,
- 58', Martinez L. 🟨,
- 64', Camacho N. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 64', Rayer T. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
- 64', Zarza P. ↓, Roman J. ↑,
- 70', Gimenez O. 🟨,
- 74', Viera G. ↓, Gauto N. ↑,
- 74', De la Cruz L. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
- 81', Fernandez F. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 89', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Cabanas V. ↑,
- 89', Manzur A. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Centurion M. ⚽, Mendoza S. (A),
Chances of winning
Sportivo Trinidense
36.3% | Draw
28.7% | Guaraní Asuncion
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.79) |
3.28 ↓
(3.32) |
2.69 ↑
(2.41) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 2.
- Recent performances by Sportivo Trinidense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guaraní is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
20.07.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
01.06.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:1
27.03.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:3
27.09.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
26.07.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36:15 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
