Result
05/07/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
St Kilda Saints
30.9% | Hawthorn Hawks
69.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Kilda Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawthorn Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.87) |
|
1.36 ↓
(1.43) |
7.6%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 165.00The most likely Handicap: 2 (-19)
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 3.
- St Kilda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Hawthorn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hawthorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hawthorn is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Hawthorn will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1401:1524. (average 77.8:84.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 786:894. (average 71.5:81.3).
How many head-to-head matches has St Kilda Saints won against Hawthorn Hawks?
St Kilda Saints has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against St Kilda Saints?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
10.05.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
St Kilda Saints
58:53
29.07.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
St Kilda Saints
93:122
26.05.2023
St Kilda Saints
-
Hawthorn Hawks
78:88
Latest results of St Kilda Saints
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
AFL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Collingwood Magpies | 15 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1393:1026 | 135.77 | 52 |
| 2 | Brisbane Lions | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1316:1160 | 113.45 | 42 |
| 3 | Adelaide Crows | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 1479:1058 | 139.79 | 40 |
| 4 | Geelong Cats | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 1477:1158 | 127.55 | 40 |
| 5 | Hawthorn Hawks | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 1347:1138 | 118.37 | 40 |
| 6 | Fremantle Dockers | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 1271:1151 | 110.43 | 40 |
| 7 | Western Bulldogs | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 1582:1203 | 131.50 | 36 |
| 8 | Gold Coast Suns | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1317:1095 | 120.27 | 36 |
| 9 | GWS Giants | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 1294:1203 | 107.56 | 36 |
| 10 | Port Adelaide Power | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 1156:1305 | 88.58 | 28 |
| 11 | Carlton Blues | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 1186:1181 | 100.42 | 24 |
| 12 | Sydney Swans | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 1171:1271 | 92.13 | 24 |
| 13 | Essendon Bombers | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 1010:1304 | 77.45 | 24 |
| 14 | Melbourne Demons | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 1176:1356 | 86.73 | 20 |
| 15 | St Kilda Saints | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 1196:1388 | 86.17 | 20 |
| 16 | North Melbourne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 1152:1467 | 78.53 | 18 |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 963:1486 | 64.80 | 12 |
| 18 | West Coast Eagles | 15 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1003:1539 | 65.17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
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