Result
 
                    74:94
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        05/07/2025 at  05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  AFL - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | AFL, Fox Footy | 
|  New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 | 
|  United-kingdom | TNT Sports 8 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Goals | 
|---|
| 10 | 14 | 
| Behinds | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Kicks | 
|---|
| 208 | 213 | 
| Handballs | 
|---|
| 151 | 132 | 
| Disposals | 
|---|
| 359 | 345 | 
| Frees For | 
|---|
| 16 | 22 | 
| Frees Against | 
|---|
| 22 | 16 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 42 | 36 | 
| Marks | 
|---|
| 80 | 103 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 82 | 58 | 
| Hitouts | 
|---|
| 30 | 64 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Quarter (8 - 17)
- 01:45, Sinclair J. (Behind), 
- 05:47, Chol M. (Behind), 
- 10:00, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 12:37, Gunston J. (G), 
- 14:29,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 17:19, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 18:58, Hall M. (G), 
- 22:34, Watson N. (G), 
- 24:12,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 28:29, Hall M. (Behind), 
- 2nd Quarter (16 - 25)
- 03:57, Higgins J. (Behind), 
- 06:59, Chol M. (Behind), 
- 11:14, Butler D. (Behind), 
- 13:21, Tauru A. (Behind), 
- 17:14, Ginnivan J. (G), 
- 18:34, Windhager M. (G), 
- 20:36, Higgins J. (G), 
- 23:50, Macdonald C. (G), 
- 24:58, Watson N. (G), 
- 26:10, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind), 
- 30:35, Newcombe J. (G), 
- 3rd Quarter (22 - 30)
- 03:44,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 04:50,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 06:19,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 09:32, Sharman C. (Behind), 
- 11:13, Ramsden M. (G), 
- 14:59, Morrison H. (G), 
- 17:07, Macrae J. (G), 
- 20:00, Chol M. (G), 
- 23:33, Hall M. (G), 
- 26:52, Owens M. (G), 
- 28:35, Gunston J. (G), 
- 30:51, Chol M. (G), 
- 4th Quarter (28 - 22)
- 00:36, Higgins J. (G), 
- 05:13, Moore D. (G), 
- 07:27, Moore D. (Behind), 
- 10:14, Sharman C. (G), 
- 12:52, D'Ambrosio M. (G), 
- 14:42, Wood M. (Behind), 
- 15:19, Moore D. (Behind), 
- 15:59, Higgins J. (Behind), 
- 17:32, Moore D. (Behind), 
- 19:14, Nash C. (Behind), 
- 20:15, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind), 
- 21:15, Hall M. (G), 
- 26:52, Gunston J. (G), 
- 28:23, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind), 
- 30:27, Marshall R. (G), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | St Kilda Saints 31%
 | Hawthorn Hawks 69%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.94 ↑ (2.87)
 | 
 | 1.36 ↓ (1.43)
 | 7.6% (5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 166.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-18)
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 3.
- St Kilda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hawthorn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hawthorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hawthorn is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Hawthorn will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1401:1524. (average 77.8:84.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 786:894. (average 71.5:81.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has St Kilda Saints won against Hawthorn Hawks?
                    
                    
                        
                            St Kilda Saints has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against St Kilda Saints?
                    
                    
                        
                             Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
                                                        
                                10.05.2024 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                - 
                                St Kilda Saints 
                                58:53
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.07.2023 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                - 
                                St Kilda Saints 
                                93:122
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.05.2023 
                                St Kilda Saints 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                78:88
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of St Kilda Saints                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks