North Texas vs St. Louis City 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.40
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
78% (252/324)77% (289/377)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.492.39
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2021
Passes
78% (252/324)77% (289/377)
Long passes
52% (32/62)40% (23/57)
Passes in final third
63% (48/76)59% (67/113)
Crosses
14% (1/7)38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.90
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
2320
Tackles
63% (5/8)89% (16/18)
Duels won
5254
Clearances
1717
Interceptions
1814
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.390.49
Goals prevented
-0.61-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Essel A. 🟨,
  • 11', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
  • 16', Aroyameh F. 🟨,
  • 37', Swann C. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Joyner M. , Pearce T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Perez M. , Chavez E. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Essel A. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, McSorley B. ,
  • 63', Kuzain W. 🟨,
  • 63', Antwi S. 🟨,
  • 64', Aroyameh F. , Cisset M. ,
  • 70', Joyner M. , Kidd M. ,
  • 70', Scott T. , Sangare F. ,
  • 70', Ramirez A. , Contreras J. ,
  • 71', Cisset M. 🟨,
  • 77', Glover C. , Clancy T. ,
  • 80', Essel A. , Urzua A. ,
  • 80', Garcia D. , Salazar C. ,
  • 87', Kuzain W. , Demitra L. ,
  • 88', Kidd M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 3, Kidd M. ,

Chances of winning


North Texas
24.8%
Draw
23.5%
St. Louis City 2
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 22.1% 53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 22.4% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • North Texas - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.72
    (3.8)
    3.91
    (4.15)
    1.78
    (1.7)
    8.6%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 2.
    • North Texas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • St. Louis City 2 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • St. Louis City 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    04.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 2:0
    09.03.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 0:3
    02.11.2024 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 3:0
    25.08.2024 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 4:0
    27.07.2024 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 2:1
    Latest results of North Texas
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)