North Texas vs St. Louis City 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Choctaw Stadium (Arlington, TX).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	1.40
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
1	3
Passes
78% (252/324)	77% (289/377)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	1.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.49	2.39
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
3	9
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
1	3
Touches in opposition box
15	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
20	21
Passes
78% (252/324)	77% (289/377)
Long passes
52% (32/62)	40% (23/57)
Passes in final third
63% (48/76)	59% (67/113)
Crosses
14% (1/7)	38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.31	0.90
Throw-ins
18	13
Fouls
23	20
Tackles
63% (5/8)	89% (16/18)
Duels won
52	54
Clearances
17	17
Interceptions
18	14
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
2.39	0.49
Goals prevented
-0.61	-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Essel A. 🟨,
11', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
16', Aroyameh F. 🟨,
37', Swann C. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Joyner M. ⚽, Pearce T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Perez M. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Essel A. ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, McSorley B. ⚽,
63', Kuzain W. 🟨,
63', Antwi S. 🟨,
64', Aroyameh F. ↓, Cisset M. ↑,
70', Joyner M. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
70', Scott T. ↓, Sangare F. ↑,
70', Ramirez A. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
71', Cisset M. 🟨,
77', Glover C. ↓, Clancy T. ↑,
80', Essel A. ↓, Urzua A. ↑,
80', Garcia D. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
87', Kuzain W. ↓, Demitra L. ↑,
88', Kidd M. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Kidd M. ⚽,

Chances of winning

North Texas
24.8%

Draw
23.5%

St. Louis City 2
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

22.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

22.4%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

North Texas - St. Louis City 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.8)	3.91 ↓ (4.15)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	8.6% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 2.
North Texas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
St. Louis City 2 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
St. Louis City 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against St. Louis City 2?

North Texas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City 2 won against North Texas?

St. Louis City 2 has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:

04.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 2:0

09.03.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 0:3

02.11.2024 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 3:0

25.08.2024 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 4:0

27.07.2024 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 2:1

Latest results of North Texas

08.08.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 North Texas - Colorado Rapids 2 1:4 ✺

18.07.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:4 ✺

13.07.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - North Texas 3:0 ✺

03.07.2025 North Texas - Minnesota United 2 3:1 ✺

Latest results of St. Louis City 2

10.08.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Colorado Rapids 2 3:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:4 ✺

27.07.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 4:0 ✺

16.07.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

11.07.2025 Austin II - St. Louis City 2 2:4 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
5	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
6	New York City II	22	7	2	4	9	41:45	29
7	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	21	4	1	3	13	24:44	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	21	11	4	2	4	46:24	43
2	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
3	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
4	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
5	Crown Legacy	22	5	3	5	9	33:44	26
6	Atlanta United 2	20	5	2	6	7	28:32	25
7	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
2	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
3	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
5	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
6	Los Angeles FC II	21	7	2	1	11	34:45	26
7	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
3	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
4	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
5	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Huntsville	21	11	4	2	4	46:24	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
4	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
5	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
6	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
7	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
8	New York City II	22	7	2	4	9	41:45	29
9	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
10	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
11	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
12	Crown Legacy	22	5	3	5	9	33:44	26
13	Atlanta United 2	20	5	2	6	7	28:32	25
14	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	21	4	1	3	13	24:44	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
3	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
4	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
5	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
6	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
7	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
8	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
9	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
11	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
12	Los Angeles FC II	21	7	2	1	11	34:45	26
13	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25
14	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)