North Texas vs St. Louis City 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Choctaw Stadium (Arlington, TX).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	1.40
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
1	3
Passes
78% (252/324)	77% (289/377)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	1.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.49	2.39
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
3	9
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
1	3
Touches in opposition box
15	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
20	21
Passes
78% (252/324)	77% (289/377)
Long passes
52% (32/62)	40% (23/57)
Passes in final third
63% (48/76)	59% (67/113)
Crosses
14% (1/7)	38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.31	0.90
Throw-ins
18	13
Fouls
23	20
Tackles
63% (5/8)	89% (16/18)
Duels won
52	54
Clearances
17	17
Interceptions
18	14
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
2.39	0.49
Goals prevented
-0.61	-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Essel A. 🟨,
11', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
16', Aroyameh F. 🟨,
37', Swann C. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Joyner M. ⚽, Pearce T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Perez M. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Essel A. ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, McSorley B. ⚽,
63', Kuzain W. 🟨,
63', Antwi S. 🟨,
64', Aroyameh F. ↓, Cisset M. ↑,
70', Joyner M. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
70', Scott T. ↓, Sangare F. ↑,
70', Ramirez A. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
71', Cisset M. 🟨,
77', Glover C. ↓, Clancy T. ↑,
80', Essel A. ↓, Urzua A. ↑,
80', Garcia D. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
87', Kuzain W. ↓, Demitra L. ↑,
88', Kidd M. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Kidd M. ⚽,

Chances of winning

North Texas
24.8%

Draw
23.5%

St. Louis City 2
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

22.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

22.4%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

North Texas - St. Louis City 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.8)	3.91 ↓ (4.15)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	8.6% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 2.
North Texas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
St. Louis City 2 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
St. Louis City 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against St. Louis City 2?

North Texas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City 2 won against North Texas?

St. Louis City 2 has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:

04.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 2:0

09.03.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 0:3

02.11.2024 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 3:0

25.08.2024 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 4:0

27.07.2024 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 2:1

Latest results of North Texas

08.08.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 North Texas - Colorado Rapids 2 1:4 ✺

18.07.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:4 ✺

13.07.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - North Texas 3:0 ✺

03.07.2025 North Texas - Minnesota United 2 3:1 ✺

Latest results of St. Louis City 2

10.08.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Colorado Rapids 2 3:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:4 ✺

27.07.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 4:0 ✺

16.07.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

11.07.2025 Austin II - St. Louis City 2 2:4 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2026

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	8	6	0	2	0	20:8	20
2	Columbus Crew 2	9	5	1	0	3	16:15	17
3	Philadelphia Union II	8	4	1	0	3	11:8	14
4	Toronto FC II	8	3	0	2	3	13:13	11
5	New England Revolution II	7	2	2	1	2	7:6	11
6	Connecticut FC	8	2	1	0	5	10:15	8
7	Cincinnati 2	7	2	0	0	5	9:11	6
8	New York City II	6	1	1	1	3	4:10	6

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	9	6	2	1	0	27:10	23
2	Atlanta United 2	8	5	0	1	2	14:9	16
3	Orlando City B	8	2	3	1	2	17:19	13
4	Huntsville	7	3	1	1	2	14:16	12
5	Chattanooga	8	3	0	1	4	13:14	10
6	Chicago Fire II	7	1	3	1	2	6:9	10
7	Carolina Core	8	0	1	3	4	10:16	5
8	Inter Miami II	8	0	1	2	5	9:21	4

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	9	3	2	1	3	14:13	14
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	7	4	0	1	2	14:7	13
3	Portland Timbers 2	7	3	1	2	1	8:8	13
4	Los Angeles FC 2	9	3	1	2	3	15:19	13
5	Real Monarchs	7	2	2	0	3	12:12	10
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	9	2	1	1	5	14:18	9
7	Tacoma Defiance	9	1	2	1	5	10:15	8

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	8	7	1	0	0	20:3	23
2	St. Louis City 2	9	6	2	1	0	20:8	23
3	Minnesota 2	8	4	1	0	3	9:9	14
4	Austin FC II	7	3	1	2	1	10:8	13
5	North Texas	9	2	2	1	4	13:14	11
6	Sporting Kansas City II	10	1	1	2	6	11:26	7
7	Colorado Rapids 2	8	0	0	3	5	9:19	3

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	9	6	2	1	0	27:10	23
2	New York Red Bulls II	8	6	0	2	0	20:8	20
3	Columbus Crew 2	9	5	1	0	3	16:15	17
4	Atlanta United 2	8	5	0	1	2	14:9	16
5	Philadelphia Union II	8	4	1	0	3	11:8	14
6	Orlando City B	8	2	3	1	2	17:19	13
7	Huntsville	7	3	1	1	2	14:16	12
8	Toronto FC II	8	3	0	2	3	13:13	11
9	New England Revolution II	7	2	2	1	2	7:6	11
10	Chattanooga	8	3	0	1	4	13:14	10
11	Chicago Fire II	7	1	3	1	2	6:9	10
12	Connecticut FC	8	2	1	0	5	10:15	8
13	Cincinnati 2	7	2	0	0	5	9:11	6
14	New York City II	6	1	1	1	3	4:10	6
15	Carolina Core	8	0	1	3	4	10:16	5
16	Inter Miami II	8	0	1	2	5	9:21	4

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	8	7	1	0	0	20:3	23
2	St. Louis City 2	9	6	2	1	0	20:8	23
3	Minnesota 2	8	4	1	0	3	9:9	14
4	Ventura County	9	3	2	1	3	14:13	14
5	San Jose Earthquakes II	7	4	0	1	2	14:7	13
6	Austin FC II	7	3	1	2	1	10:8	13
7	Portland Timbers 2	7	3	1	2	1	8:8	13
8	Los Angeles FC 2	9	3	1	2	3	15:19	13
9	North Texas	9	2	2	1	4	13:14	11
10	Real Monarchs	7	2	2	0	3	12:12	10
11	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	9	2	1	1	5	14:18	9
12	Tacoma Defiance	9	1	2	1	5	10:15	8
13	Sporting Kansas City II	10	1	1	2	6	11:26	7
14	Colorado Rapids 2	8	0	0	3	5	9:19	3

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)