Tacoma Defiance vs St. Louis City 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2
Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.96
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1837
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
128
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Long passes
43% (17/40)57% (39/69)
Passes in final third
76% (66/87)67% (118/175)
Crosses
36% (5/14)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.38
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
812
Tackles
90% (9/10)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3726
Clearances
355
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.962.16
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Orozco J. (Own goal),
  • 40', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Robles D. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 56', Sandnes G. , Baker-Whiting R. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, De Rosario O. , Tsukanome Y. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 0, Hawkins S. ,
  • 63', Glover C. , Dugan R. ,
  • 65', Gomez S. , Lopez A. ,
  • 72', McSorley B. , Cornelius L. ,
  • 72', Orozco J. , Becher R. ,
  • 77', Kuzain W. , Armstrong D. ,
  • 77', Antwi S. , Chavez E. ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Minoungou G. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Tsukanome Y. , Pedder R. ,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Kidd M. ,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
41.8%
Draw
23.6%
St. Louis City 2
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 24.7% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 23.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.99)
    3.95
    (3.73)
    2.69
    (3.21)
    7.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Tacoma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches St. Louis City 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Tacoma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    06.10.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0
    06.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    05.06.2023 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:2
    26.03.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    02.10.2022 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2231422554:4648
    2Philadelphia Union II231053548:2643
    3Chicago Fire II221132654:3741
    4New England Revolution II211051540:2741
    5Toronto FC II23914928:3633
    6New York City II23824944:4632
    7Cincinnati 2225701025:3129
    8Columbus Crew 2224131425:4717


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville221142546:2543
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B238221132:4630
    4Carolina Core23644931:3330
    5Crown Legacy23635939:4429
    6Atlanta United 221526829:3425
    7Inter Miami II226041234:5322


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC201222449:2642
    2Ventura County221023744:4037
    3Real Monarchs21843638:3535
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2228311047:4331
    5Los Angeles FC II238211239:4829
    6Portland Timbers 2227231034:4028
    7Tacoma Defiance217221051:5327


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2231630453:3054
    2Colorado Rapids 2231214645:3442
    3Austin FC II22835629:2835
    4Minnesota 222823936:3731
    5North Texas228311035:4731
    6Houston Dynamo 2237321132:3729
    7Sporting Kansas City II222131621:5511


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2231422554:4648
    2Huntsville221142546:2543
    3Philadelphia Union II231053548:2643
    4Chicago Fire II221132654:3741
    5New England Revolution II211051540:2741
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II23914928:3633
    8New York City II23824944:4632
    9Orlando City B238221132:4630
    10Carolina Core23644931:3330
    11Crown Legacy23635939:4429
    12Cincinnati 2225701025:3129
    13Atlanta United 221526829:3425
    14Inter Miami II226041234:5322
    15Columbus Crew 2224131425:4717


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2231630453:3054
    2Town FC201222449:2642
    3Colorado Rapids 2231214645:3442
    4Ventura County221023744:4037
    5Real Monarchs21843638:3535
    6Austin FC II22835629:2835
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2228311047:4331
    8Minnesota 222823936:3731
    9North Texas228311035:4731
    10Los Angeles FC II238211239:4829
    11Houston Dynamo 2237321132:3729
    12Portland Timbers 2227231034:4028
    13Tacoma Defiance217221051:5327
    14Sporting Kansas City II222131621:5511

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)