Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (284/347) | 84% (515/612) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (284/347) | 84% (515/612) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (17/40) | 57% (39/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (66/87) | 67% (118/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Orozco J. (Own goal),
- 40', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Robles D. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
- 56', Sandnes G. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 0, De Rosario O. ⚽, Tsukanome Y. (A),
- 62', 3 - 0, Hawkins S. ⚽,
- 63', Glover C. ↓, Dugan R. ↑,
- 65', Gomez S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 72', McSorley B. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
- 72', Orozco J. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
- 77', Kuzain W. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
- 77', Antwi S. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 0, Minoungou G. ⚽,
- 86', 🟨,
- 87', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 1, Kidd M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tacoma Defiance
41.8% | Draw
23.6% | St. Louis City 2
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City 2's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.99) |
3.95 ↑
(3.73) |
2.69 ↓
(3.21) |
7.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Tacoma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches St. Louis City 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Tacoma will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against St. Louis City 2?
Tacoma Defiance has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City 2 won against Tacoma Defiance?
St. Louis City 2 has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
06.10.2024
St. Louis City 2
-
Tacoma Defiance
5:0
06.06.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
St. Louis City 2
0:1
05.06.2023
Tacoma Defiance
-
St. Louis City 2
0:2
26.03.2023
St. Louis City 2
-
Tacoma Defiance
1:2
02.10.2022
St. Louis City 2
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Latest results of St. Louis City 2
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
