Tacoma Defiance vs St. Louis City 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2
Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.96
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1837
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
128
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Long passes
43% (17/40)57% (39/69)
Passes in final third
76% (66/87)67% (118/175)
Crosses
36% (5/14)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.38
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
812
Tackles
90% (9/10)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3726
Clearances
355
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.962.16
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Orozco J. (Own goal),
  • 40', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Robles D. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 56', Sandnes G. , Baker-Whiting R. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, De Rosario O. , Tsukanome Y. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 0, Hawkins S. ,
  • 63', Glover C. , Dugan R. ,
  • 65', Gomez S. , Lopez A. ,
  • 72', McSorley B. , Cornelius L. ,
  • 72', Orozco J. , Becher R. ,
  • 77', Kuzain W. , Armstrong D. ,
  • 77', Antwi S. , Chavez E. ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Minoungou G. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Tsukanome Y. , Pedder R. ,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Kidd M. ,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
41.8%
Draw
23.6%
St. Louis City 2
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 24.7% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 23.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.99)
    3.95
    (3.73)
    2.69
    (3.21)
    7.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Tacoma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches St. Louis City 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Tacoma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    06.10.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0
    06.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    05.06.2023 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:2
    26.03.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    02.10.2022 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1St. Louis City 2 (1)Ventura County (8)3 : 0
    2Real Monarchs (4)Minnesota 2 (5)1 : 2
    3Philadelphia Union II (2)Cincinnati 2 (7)2 : 1
    4Chattanooga (4)Huntsville (5)0 : 2
    5New York Red Bulls II (1)Carolina Core (8)5 : 1
    6New England Revolution II (3)Chicago Fire II (6)0 : 1
    7Town FC (2)North Texas (6)3 : 0
    8Colorado Rapids 2 (3)Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1St. Louis City 2 (1)Minnesota 2 (5)
    2Philadelphia Union II (2)Huntsville (5)1 : 0
    3New York Red Bulls II (1)Chicago Fire II (6)
    4Town FC (2)Colorado Rapids 2 (3)