Tacoma Defiance vs St. Louis City 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2
Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.96
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1837
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
128
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Long passes
43% (17/40)57% (39/69)
Passes in final third
76% (66/87)67% (118/175)
Crosses
36% (5/14)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.38
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
812
Tackles
90% (9/10)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3726
Clearances
355
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.962.16
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Orozco J. (Own goal),
  • 40', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Robles D. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 56', Sandnes G. , Baker-Whiting R. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, De Rosario O. , Tsukanome Y. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 0, Hawkins S. ,
  • 63', Glover C. , Dugan R. ,
  • 65', Gomez S. , Lopez A. ,
  • 72', McSorley B. , Cornelius L. ,
  • 72', Orozco J. , Becher R. ,
  • 77', Kuzain W. , Armstrong D. ,
  • 77', Antwi S. , Chavez E. ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Minoungou G. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Tsukanome Y. , Pedder R. ,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Kidd M. ,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
41.8%
Draw
23.6%
St. Louis City 2
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 24.7% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 23.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.99)
    3.95
    (3.73)
    2.69
    (3.21)
    7.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Tacoma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches St. Louis City 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Tacoma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    06.10.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0
    06.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    05.06.2023 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:2
    26.03.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    02.10.2022 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2271623666:5555
    2Philadelphia Union II271453560:3155
    3New England Revolution II271352749:3551
    4Chicago Fire II271242966:5546
    5Toronto FC II2710241133:4038
    6Cincinnati 2278701236:4038
    7New York City II279241250:5735
    8Columbus Crew 2275141737:6121


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga271344641:3551
    2Huntsville271342853:3249
    3Carolina Core27855942:4139
    4Atlanta United 2279261043:4237
    5Orlando City B279421237:5137
    6Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    7Inter Miami II276151538:6725


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC271442758:3452
    2Real Monarchs271244751:4148
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22711411160:5042
    4Ventura County2711241048:4941
    5Portland Timbers 2279241245:5335
    6Tacoma Defiance279221457:6633
    7Los Angeles FC II279221445:5733


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2271751459:3562
    2Colorado Rapids 2271414853:4048
    3Minnesota 22711241042:4141
    4North Texas2710421142:5440
    5Austin FC II279351033:3538
    6Houston Dynamo 2279421239:4237
    7Sporting Kansas City II273241829:6417


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ 271623666:5555
    2Philadelphia Union II ✔ 271453560:3155
    3New England Revolution II ✔ 271352749:3551
    4Chattanooga ✔ 271344641:3551
    5Huntsville ✔ 271342853:3249
    6Chicago Fire II ✔ 271242966:5546
    7Carolina Core27855942:4139
    8Toronto FC II2710241133:4038
    9Cincinnati 2278701236:4038
    10Atlanta United 2279261043:4237
    11Orlando City B279421237:5137
    12New York City II279241250:5735
    13Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    14Inter Miami II276151538:6725
    15Columbus Crew 2275141737:6121


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2 ✔ 271751459:3562
    2Town FC ✔ 271442758:3452
    3Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ 271414853:4048
    4Real Monarchs ✔ 271244751:4148
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2 ✔ 2711411160:5042
    6Minnesota 2 ✔ 2711241042:4141
    7Ventura County ✔ 2711241048:4941
    8North Texas2710421142:5440
    9Austin FC II279351033:3538
    10Houston Dynamo 2279421239:4237
    11Portland Timbers 2279241245:5335
    12Tacoma Defiance279221457:6633
    13Los Angeles FC II279221445:5733
    14Sporting Kansas City II273241829:6417

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ventura County is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)