Result
0:0
27/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 19
- Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV, St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (386/472) | 79% (271/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (386/472) | 79% (271/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 60% (34/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (114/166) | 67% (80/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (9/45) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Idowu R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Idowu R. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
- 56', Ayunga J. ↓, Mandron M. ↑,
- 62', Lowery T. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 67', John-Jules T. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
- 77', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Mooney E. ↑,
- 80', Anderson B. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 80', Kiltie G. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
- 90+2', McMenamin C. ↓, Taylor F. ↑,
- 90+3', Phillips K. ↓, O'Hara M. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Mirren
55.8% | Draw
25.7% | Kilmarnock
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
St. Mirren - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.83) |
3.67 ↑
(3.63) |
5 ↑
(4.25) |
6.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Kilmarnock?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - St. Mirren (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
St. Mirren will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Mirren will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. St. Mirren (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 2.
- St. Mirren is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kilmarnock's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, St. Mirren is the team to beat.
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Baccus K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
Stryjek M.
(Heart Problems)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Kilmarnock?
St. Mirren has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against St. Mirren?
Kilmarnock has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Kilmarnock were as follows:
04.10.2025
Kilmarnock
-
St. Mirren
2:0
19.09.2025
Kilmarnock
-
St. Mirren
2:3
29.03.2025
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
5:1
02.01.2025
Kilmarnock
-
St. Mirren
2:0
14.09.2024
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
2:2
Latest results of St. Mirren
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42:17 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Celtic | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Rangers | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 34:17 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 19 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 14 |
| 12 | Livingston | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 22:42 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
