Result
5:1
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 31
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV, St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (162/242) | 70% (227/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (162/242) | 70% (227/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (25/67) | 30% (21/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 51% (55/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.83 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 3.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Boyd-Munce C. ⚽, Ayunga J. (A),
- 9', 2 - 0, Idowu R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Lyons B. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 0, Boyd-Munce C. ⚽, Taylor R. (A),
- 63', Polworth L. ↓, Wales B. ↑,
- 63', Ndaba C. ↓, Deas R. ↑,
- 64', Wright J. 🟨,
- 66', 4 - 0, O'Hara M. ⚽,
- 69', 5 - 0, John D. ⚽, Ayunga J. (A),
- 70', Anderson B. 🟨,
- 73', Idowu R. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
- 73', Phillips K. ↓, Kiltie G. ↑,
- 73', Boyd-Munce C. ↓, Smyth O. ↑,
- 73', Watkins M. ↓, Findlay S. ↑,
- 73', Kennedy M. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 80', Fraser M. ↓, Kenny L. ↑,
- 80', John D. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
- 87', 5 - 1, Anderson B. (Pen),
Chances of winning
St. Mirren
40.3% | Draw
29.4% | Kilmarnock
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
St. Mirren - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.31) |
3.22 ↓
(3.26) |
3.13 ↓
(3.16) |
5.6%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. St. Mirren will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Mirren: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Mirren won 0.
- Recent matches St. Mirren is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kilmarnock is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- St. Mirren will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Fraser M.
(Yellow Cards)
Mandron M.
(Injury)
McMenamin C.
(Injury)
Mooney E.
(Injury)
Olusanya T.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Findlay S.
(Ankle Injury)
Magennis K.
(Injury)
Vassell K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Mirren: Boyd-Munce C.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches St. Mirren won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:28 (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams St. Mirren won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Kilmarnock?
St. Mirren has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against St. Mirren?
Kilmarnock has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Kilmarnock were as follows:
02.01.2025
Kilmarnock
-
St. Mirren
2:0
14.09.2024
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
2:2
11.05.2024
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
0:1
16.03.2024
Kilmarnock
-
St. Mirren
5:2
27.12.2023
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
0:1
Latest results of St. Mirren
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celtic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Hearts | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Rangers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Livingston | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
