Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish Premier League Kilmarnock - St. Mirren
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Kilmarnock
36.3%
Draw
29%
St. Mirren
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 29% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 29% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Kilmarnock - St. Mirren Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.61)
    3.28
    (3.3)
    2.74
    (2.78)
    5.2%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 2.
    • Kilmarnock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • St. Mirren is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - St. Mirren were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Kilmarnock - St. Mirren 2:3
    29.03.2025 St. Mirren - Kilmarnock 5:1
    02.01.2025 Kilmarnock - St. Mirren 2:0
    14.09.2024 St. Mirren - Kilmarnock 2:2
    11.05.2024 St. Mirren - Kilmarnock 0:1
    Latest results of Kilmarnock
    27.09.2025 Dundee United - Kilmarnock 0:2
    19.09.2025 Kilmarnock - St. Mirren 2:3
    14.09.2025 Kilmarnock - Celtic 1:2
    30.08.2025 Motherwell - Kilmarnock 2:2
    23.08.2025 Kilmarnock - Dundee 0:0
    Latest results of St. Mirren
    27.09.2025 St. Mirren - Dundee 1:0
    19.09.2025 Kilmarnock - St. Mirren 2:3
    13.09.2025 Falkirk - St. Mirren 1:2
    31.08.2025 Hibernian - St. Mirren 1:1
    Scottish Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hearts651015:6916
    2Celtic64208:1714
    3St. Mirren62315:419
    4Motherwell61509:728
    5Dundee Utd622211:1018
    6Hibernian615010:918
    7Kilmarnock61419:817
    8Dundee FC71336:9-36
    9Livingston61238:11-35
    10Falkirk61237:12-55
    11Rangers50413:5-24
    12Aberdeen60150:9-91

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