Result
0:1
23/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 21
- Referee: Toland D. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (368/460) | 73% (281/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (368/460) | 73% (281/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 39% (31/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (73/117) | 50% (37/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Lennon J. 🟨,
- 21', Hoare S. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Boyce L. ⚽, Boyce R. (A),
- 33', Boyce R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Boyce R. ↓, O'Reilly A. ↑,
- 49', Boyce L. 🟨,
- 51', Holt K. 🟨,
- 61', Connolly M. ↓, Ferguson S. ↑,
- 61', Whyte G. ↓, McMullan P. ↑,
- 61', Boyce L. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 68', Baggley B. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
- 69', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
- 71', Sjoberg A. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 74', Diallo S. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
- 82', Melia M. ↓, Leavy K. ↑,
- 82', Kavanagh B. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
- 82', Ferguson S. 🟨,
- 86', McMullan P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Redmond J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St Patricks Athletic
39.9% | Draw
30.2% | Derry City
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
St Patricks Athletic - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.17) |
3.07 ↓
(3.44) |
3.13 ↑
(3.05) |
7.6%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Derry City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Derry will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- St Patricks could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in St Patricks: Palmer R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Derry: Dummigan C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Derry: Diallo S.
(Injury)
Doherty B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Derry City?
St Patricks Athletic has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against St Patricks Athletic?
Derry City has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Derry City were as follows:
05.05.2025
Derry City
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:0
03.03.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Derry City
2:0
25.10.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Derry City
1:0
21.07.2024
Derry City
-
St Patricks Athletic
3:0
17.05.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Derry City
0:1
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 49 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 42 |
| 3 | Derry City | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | St. Patricks | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Waterford | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 33 |
| 8 | Galway | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 26 |
| 10 | Cork City | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
