Derry City vs St Patricks Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish Premier Division Derry City - St Patricks Athletic
Result
2:2
29/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier Division - Round 29
  • Referee: Lynch M. (Irl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.04
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (403/491)77% (270/349)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.302.35
Total shots
137
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
82% (403/491)77% (270/349)
Long passes
45% (35/78)27% (16/60)
Passes in final third
68% (106/157)63% (58/92)
Crosses
28% (7/25)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.67
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
1512
Tackles
93% (14/15)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4350
Clearances
1236
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.351.30
Goals prevented
0.35-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Melia M. , Forrester C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Frizzell A. , Bannon A. ,
  • 57', Diallo S. 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Forrester C. , Melia M. (A),
  • 69', Whyte G. , Mullen D. ,
  • 69', O'Reilly A. , Benson R. ,
  • 70', Kazeem A. , McClelland J. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Bannon A. , Mullen D. (A),
  • 80', Power S. , Baggley B. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Bannon A. , Duffy M. (A),
  • 87', Sjoberg A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Duffy M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Forrester C. , Robinson D. ,
  • 90+3', Melia M. , Carty C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derry City
34%
Draw
31.9%
St Patricks Athletic
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 30.3% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 31.1% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derry City's form might have worsened.
  • St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Patricks Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Derry City - St Patricks Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.16)
    3.13
    (3.13)
    2.86
    (3.66)
    -0.1%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Derry City - St Patricks Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). St Patricks will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Derry could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Derry: Doherty B. (Red Card) Stott J. (Red Card) Winchester C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in St Patricks: Elbouzedi Z. (Shoulder Injury) Keena A. (Injury) Palmer R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 1.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
    23.06.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 0:1
    05.05.2025 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 1:0
    03.03.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 2:0
    25.10.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 1:0
    21.07.2024 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 3:0
    Latest results of Derry City
    Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers31189453:272663
    2Derry City32149946:37951
    3Bohemians321551242:33950
    4Drogheda321114735:31447
    5St. Patricks3212101040:31946
    6Shelbourne311113739:33646
    7Sligo Rovers321071538:48-1037
    8Galway328101433:41-834
    9Waterford321041836:56-2034
    10Cork City324111731:56-2523

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1