Result
0:0
16/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 7
- Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (276/379) | 74% (271/364) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (276/379) | 74% (271/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/69) | 36% (27/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (96/149) | 56% (59/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Duffy M. 🟨,
- 61', Cotter B. 🟨,
- 65', Keena A. ↓, Mata M. A. ↑,
- 65', Edmondson R. ↓, Nzingo G. ↑,
- 70', Duffy M. ↓, O'Reilly A. ↑,
- 70', Akinyemi D. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 70', Cotter B. ↓, Barr C. ↑,
- 72', Clarke J. 🟨,
- 72', Markey D. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 78', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
- 86', Stott J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St Patricks Athletic
42.8% | Draw
30.1% | Derry City
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Patricks Athletic's performance.Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Patricks Athletic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
St Patricks Athletic - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.52) |
3.09 ↑
(3.01) |
3.47 ↑
(3.05) |
6.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Derry City?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Derry will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - St Patricks (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 2.
- St Patricks is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Derry is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Derry has had a series of home games.
- St Patricks might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in St Patricks: Elbouzedi Z.
(Injury)
Forrester C.
(Inactive)
Power S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Inactive)
Maher B.
(Inactive)
Winchester C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Derry City?
St Patricks Athletic has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against St Patricks Athletic?
Derry City has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Derry City were as follows:
29.08.2025
Derry City
-
St Patricks Athletic
2:2
23.06.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Derry City
0:1
05.05.2025
Derry City
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:0
03.03.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Derry City
2:0
25.10.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Derry City
1:0
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Derry City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Drogheda | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Galway | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Waterford | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
