St Patricks Athletic vs Derry City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Richmond Park (Dublin).

: Premier Division - Round 21
Referee: Toland D. (Irl)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	0.56
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
80% (368/460)	73% (281/383)
Yellow Cards
3	6
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	0.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.60	0.87
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
15	5
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
17	9
Passes
80% (368/460)	73% (281/383)
Long passes
40% (18/45)	39% (31/79)
Passes in final third
62% (73/117)	50% (37/74)
Crosses
17% (4/24)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	0.49
Throw-ins
23	24
Fouls
9	17
Tackles
64% (7/11)	72% (13/18)
Duels won
45	38
Clearances
12	33
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
0.87	0.60
Goals prevented
-0.13	0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Lennon J. 🟨,
21', Hoare S. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Boyce L. ⚽, Boyce R. (A),
33', Boyce R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Boyce R. ↓, O'Reilly A. ↑,
49', Boyce L. 🟨,
51', Holt K. 🟨,
61', Connolly M. ↓, Ferguson S. ↑,
61', Whyte G. ↓, McMullan P. ↑,
61', Boyce L. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
68', Baggley B. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
69', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
71', Sjoberg A. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
74', Diallo S. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
82', Melia M. ↓, Leavy K. ↑,
82', Kavanagh B. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
82', Ferguson S. 🟨,
86', McMullan P. 🟨,
90+2', Redmond J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

St Patricks Athletic
39.9%

Draw
30.2%

Derry City
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

St Patricks Athletic - Derry City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)	3.07 ↓ (3.44)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	7.6% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Derry City?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Derry will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
St Patricks could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in St Patricks: Palmer R. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Derry: Dummigan C. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Derry: Diallo S. (Injury) Doherty B. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Derry City?

St Patricks Athletic has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against St Patricks Athletic?

Derry City has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Derry City were as follows:

05.05.2025 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 1:0

03.03.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 2:0

25.10.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 1:0

21.07.2024 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 3:0

17.05.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 0:1

Latest results of St Patricks Athletic

20.06.2025 Galway United - St Patricks Athletic 3:1 ✺

16.06.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne 0:1 ✺

13.06.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United 0:0 ✺

30.05.2025 Sligo Rovers - St Patricks Athletic 0:1 ✺

23.05.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Derry City

20.06.2025 Shelbourne - Derry City 0:1 ✺

13.06.2025 Derry City - Galway United 1:1 ✺

30.05.2025 Bohemians Dublin - Derry City 1:0 ✺

23.05.2025 Derry City - Shamrock Rovers 1:2 ✺

16.05.2025 Drogheda United - Derry City 1:1 ✺

Irish Premier Division Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	14	7	4	44:23	21	49
2	Bohemians	24	13	2	9	30:22	8	41
3	Derry City	24	12	4	8	35:26	9	40
4	Drogheda	25	9	11	5	29:25	4	38
5	Shelbourne	25	8	11	6	30:27	3	35
6	St. Patricks	25	8	8	9	27:27	0	32
7	Waterford	24	9	3	12	28:42	-14	30
8	Galway	24	7	8	9	27:30	-3	29
9	Sligo Rovers	24	6	5	13	30:39	-9	23
10	Cork City	24	2	9	13	24:43	-19	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Premier Division (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of St Patricks Athletic - Derry City?

It is being streamed on channel


Ireland	LOI TV