St. Pauli vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/03/2024 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 27
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Bundesliga
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub, Sport TV
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.12
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1210
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
65
Free Kicks
1711
Corner Kicks
13
Offsides
72
Throw-ins
1418
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Fouls
515
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
538380
Completed Passes
468315
Attacks
9778
Dangerous Attacks
2329
Distance Covered (km)
124120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Metcalfe C. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Hartel M. , Irvine J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Ritzka L. , Saliakas M. (A),
  • 56', 2 - 1, Grimaldi A. , Conteh S. (A),
  • 66', Grimaldi A. 🟨,
  • 72', Smith E. 🟨,
  • 72', Grimaldi A. 🟨,
  • 81', Obermair R. , Ansah I. ,
  • 82', Klaas S. , Kostons K. ,
  • 82', Conteh S. , Leipertz R. ,
  • 82', Zehnter A. , Heuer J. ,
  • 82', Hansen M. , Brackelmann C. ,
  • 83', Metcalfe C. , Amenyido E. ,
  • 83', Ritzka L. , Dzwigala A. ,
  • 87', Eggestein J. , Albers A. ,
  • 90+3', Kemlein A. , Scheller T. ,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
59.9%
Draw
22.2%
Paderborn
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 21.8% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 21.2% 18.4%

St. Pauli - Paderborn Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.59
(1.59)
4.26
(4.33)
5.34
(4.98)
5.2%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 82.9%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1.
    • St. Pauli is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Paderborn is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's St. Pauli to win the game is with odds 1.6.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-29.
    • Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-15.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Paderborn were as follows:
    21.10.2023 Paderborn - St. Pauli 2:2
    03.03.2023 Paderborn - St. Pauli 1:2
    27.08.2022 St. Pauli - Paderborn 2:2
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    Latest results of Paderborn
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke20123524:141039
    2Elversberg20115437:201738
    3Darmstadt20108236:221438
    4Paderborn20113631:23836
    5Hannover20105535:27835
    6Kaiserslautern2094735:27831
    7Hertha Berlin2087525:20531
    8Bochum2075829:26326
    9Nurnberg2075823:28-526
    10Karlsruher SC2075829:36-726
    11Holstein Kiel2066825:26-124
    12Braunschweig20731021:32-1124
    13Dusseldorf20721119:30-1123
    14Arminia Bielefeld2056930:28221
    15Preussen Munster2056924:31-721
    16SG Dynamo Dresden20551029:36-720
    17Magdeburg20621226:33-720
    18Greuther Furth20541128:47-1919

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga