St. Pauli vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga St. Pauli - Paderborn
Result
2:1
31/03/2024 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 27
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Bundesliga
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub, Sport TV
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.12
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1210
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
65
Free Kicks
1711
Corner Kicks
13
Offsides
72
Throw-ins
1418
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Fouls
515
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
538380
Completed Passes
468315
Attacks
9778
Dangerous Attacks
2329
Distance Covered (km)
124120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Metcalfe C. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Hartel M. , Irvine J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Ritzka L. , Saliakas M. (A),
  • 56', 2 - 1, Grimaldi A. , Conteh S. (A),
  • 66', Grimaldi A. 🟨,
  • 72', Smith E. 🟨,
  • 72', Grimaldi A. 🟨,
  • 81', Obermair R. , Ansah I. ,
  • 82', Klaas S. , Kostons K. ,
  • 82', Conteh S. , Leipertz R. ,
  • 82', Zehnter A. , Heuer J. ,
  • 82', Hansen M. , Brackelmann C. ,
  • 83', Metcalfe C. , Amenyido E. ,
  • 83', Ritzka L. , Dzwigala A. ,
  • 87', Eggestein J. , Albers A. ,
  • 90+3', Kemlein A. , Scheller T. ,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
59.9%
Draw
22.2%
Paderborn
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 21.8% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 21.2% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • St. Pauli - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.59)
    4.26
    (4.33)
    5.34
    (4.98)
    5.2%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 82.9%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1.
    • St. Pauli is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Paderborn is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's St. Pauli to win the game is with odds 1.6.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-29.
    • Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-15.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Paderborn were as follows:
    21.10.2023 Paderborn - St. Pauli 2:2
    03.03.2023 Paderborn - St. Pauli 1:2
    27.08.2022 St. Pauli - Paderborn 2:2
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    Latest results of Paderborn
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Elversberg861116:61019
    2Schalke860210:5518
    3Darmstadt852114:6817
    4Paderborn852111:5617
    5Hannover852115:10517
    6Kaiserslautern850315:9615
    7Karlsruher SC843111:9215
    8Hertha Berlin83239:7211
    9Arminia Bielefeld831414:12210
    10Holstein Kiel83149:8110
    11Preussen Munster831413:15-210
    12Greuther Furth831415:18-310
    13Dusseldorf83148:15-710
    14Nurnberg82157:12-57
    15Braunschweig82159:16-77
    16SG Dynamo Dresden813412:16-46
    17Bochum81078:15-73
    18Magdeburg81077:19-123

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga