Result
2:1
31/03/2024 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 27
- Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Sport Bundesliga |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub, Sport TV |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 538 | 380 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 468 | 315 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 97 | 78 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Distance Covered (km) |
|---|
| 124 | 120 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Metcalfe C. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Hartel M. ⚽, Irvine J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 0, Ritzka L. ⚽, Saliakas M. (A),
- 56', 2 - 1, Grimaldi A. ⚽, Conteh S. (A),
- 66', Grimaldi A. 🟨,
- 72', Smith E. 🟨,
- 72', Grimaldi A. 🟨,
- 81', Obermair R. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
- 82', Klaas S. ↓, Kostons K. ↑,
- 82', Conteh S. ↓, Leipertz R. ↑,
- 82', Zehnter A. ↓, Heuer J. ↑,
- 82', Hansen M. ↓, Brackelmann C. ↑,
- 83', Metcalfe C. ↓, Amenyido E. ↑,
- 83', Ritzka L. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
- 87', Eggestein J. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
- 90+3', Kemlein A. ↓, Scheller T. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Pauli
59.9% | Draw
22.2% | Paderborn
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
St. Pauli - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.59) |
4.26 ↓
(4.33) |
5.34 ↑
(4.98) |
5.2%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
St. Pauli will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1.
- St. Pauli is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Paderborn is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's St. Pauli to win the game is with odds 1.6.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-29.
- Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-15.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Paderborn?
St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against St. Pauli?
Paderborn has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Paderborn were as follows:
21.10.2023
Paderborn
-
St. Pauli
2:2
03.03.2023
Paderborn
-
St. Pauli
1:2
27.08.2022
St. Pauli
-
Paderborn
2:2
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 48:28 | 20 | 64 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 54:38 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 | Hannover | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 53:37 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 55:40 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 49:47 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 42:43 | -1 | 41 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 10 | Bochum | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46:45 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Karlsruher SC | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 48:59 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 47:48 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Braunschweig | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34:52 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Dusseldorf | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 30:48 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 44:65 | -21 | 33 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:54 | -20 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
