Stal Mielec vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
08/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 16
  • Referee: Borowiak A. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
95
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
1311
Corner Kicks
95
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1014
Throw-ins
2114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Drag M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Pisek J. 🟨,
  • 60', Pisek J. , Odolak K. ,
  • 60', Szeliga B. , Matynia H. ,
  • 63', Demianiuk C. , Zbrog J. ,
  • 72', Kavcic M. 🟨,
  • 77', Kavcic M. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 77', Szuprytowski D. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 80', Puerto I. 🟥,
  • 83', Losada M. , Kowalik P. ,
  • 90', Dembek B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
38.7%
Draw
26.2%
Pogoń Siedlce
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 26.2% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 25.9% 39.7%

Stal Mielec - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.44
(2.67)
3.59
(3.52)
2.66
(2.35)
6.5%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stal Mielec will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1.
    • Stal Mielec is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Pogoń Siedlce has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Stal Mielec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla19134248:153343
    2Polonia Bytom19104533:211234
    3Grodzisk M1996437:271033
    4Chrobry Glogow1994626:18831
    5S. Rzeszow1994630:29131
    6KS Wieczysta Krakow1986540:291130
    7Slask Wroclaw1986534:31330
    8Ruch Chorzow1986529:26330
    9Polonia Warszawa1986529:27230
    10Legnica1993735:36-130
    11LKS Lodz1975728:29-126
    12Pogon Siedlce1957721:21022
    13Odra Opole1957719:23-422
    14Puszcza19310620:24-419
    15Pruszkow19521221:41-2017
    16Tychy19341225:43-1813
    17Stal Mielec19341221:40-1913
    18Leczna19181022:38-1611

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2