Result
0:0
08/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 16
- Referee: Borowiak A. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Drag M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Pisek J. 🟨,
- 60', Pisek J. ↓, Odolak K. ↑,
- 60', Szeliga B. ↓, Matynia H. ↑,
- 63', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
- 72', Kavcic M. 🟨,
- 77', Kavcic M. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 77', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
- 80', Puerto I. 🟥,
- 83', Losada M. ↓, Kowalik P. ↑,
- 90', Dembek B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jakubik D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec
38.7% | Draw
26.2% | Pogoń Siedlce
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Stal Mielec - Pogoń Siedlce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.67) |
3.59 ↑
(3.52) |
2.66 ↑
(2.35) |
6.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Pogoń Siedlce?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 35% – 88%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Stal Mielec (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Stal Mielec (7.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.75 - Stal Mielec (5.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Stal Mielec (4.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stal Mielec will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1.
- Stal Mielec is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Pogoń Siedlce has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stal Mielec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Pogoń Siedlce?
Stal Mielec has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Siedlce won against Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Siedlce has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 61:27 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51:40 | 11 | 47 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Grodzisk M | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:40 | 5 | 42 |
| 5 | Ruch Chorzow | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41:37 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | LKS Lodz | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 40:38 | 2 | 41 |
| 7 | Polonia Warszawa | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Wieczysta Krakow | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 52:40 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Legnica | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Puszcza | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 38 |
| 12 | Polonia Bytom | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 37 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 37:52 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Leczna | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 20 |
| 18 | Tychy | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 31:60 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
