Result
0:0
08/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 16
- Referee: Borowiak A. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
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| Ball Possession |
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| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
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| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
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| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 13 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 9 | 5 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 10 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 21 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Drag M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Pisek J. 🟨,
- 60', Pisek J. ↓, Odolak K. ↑,
- 60', Szeliga B. ↓, Matynia H. ↑,
- 63', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
- 72', Kavcic M. 🟨,
- 77', Kavcic M. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 77', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
- 80', Puerto I. 🟥,
- 83', Losada M. ↓, Kowalik P. ↑,
- 90', Dembek B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jakubik D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec 38.7% | Draw 26.2% | Pogoń Siedlce 35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Stal Mielec - Pogoń Siedlce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 ↓ (2.67) |
3.59 ↑ (3.52) |
2.66 ↑ (2.35) |
6.5% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Pogoń Siedlce?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stal Mielec will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1.
- Stal Mielec is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Pogoń Siedlce has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stal Mielec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Pogoń Siedlce?
Stal Mielec has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Siedlce won against Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Siedlce has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 48:15 | 33 | 43 |
| 2 | Polonia Bytom | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33:21 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 37:27 | 10 | 33 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 31 |
| 5 | S. Rzeszow | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30:29 | 1 | 31 |
| 6 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 40:29 | 11 | 30 |
| 7 | Slask Wroclaw | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34:31 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Ruch Chorzow | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29:26 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Polonia Warszawa | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 30 |
| 10 | Legnica | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 28:29 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Pogon Siedlce | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Puszcza | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Pruszkow | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 21:41 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Tychy | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 25:43 | -18 | 13 |
| 17 | Stal Mielec | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | -19 | 13 |
| 18 | Leczna | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 22:38 | -16 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2