Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 11
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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47% | 53% |
Total shots |
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14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 6 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Total shots |
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14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 7 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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18 | 7 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Jonathan Junior ⚽, Lysiak K. (A),
- 45+2', Puerto I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 59', Wolski F. ↓, Wachowiak K. ↑,
- 59', Odolak K. ↓, Sadlocha K. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 0, Lyczko S. ⚽,
- 68', Puerto I. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Losada M. ⚽,
- 81', Lyczko S. ↓, Masiak K. ↑,
- 84', Jonathan Junior 🟨,
- 84', Senger M. ↓, Diez A. ↑,
- 84', Mazurek D. ↓, Sommerfeld K. ↑,
- 85', Jonathan Junior ↓, Slawinski O. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Masiak K. ⚽, Thill S. (A),
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Domanski M. ⚽, Kruszelnicki P. (A),
Chances of winning
Stal Rzeszów 43.4% | Draw 25% | Stal Mielec 31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2%)
Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↑ (1.96) |
3.75 ↓ (3.85) |
2.93 ↓ (3.13) |
7% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 0.
- Stal Rzeszów has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stal Mielec's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 1.2:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Rzeszów won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Rzeszów won against Stal Mielec?
Stal Rzeszów has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Stal Rzeszów?
Stal Mielec has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec were as follows:
12.07.2024
Stal Rzeszów
-
Stal Mielec
0:5
15.07.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Stal Rzeszów
3:2
24.03.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Stal Rzeszów
1:1
25.11.2022
Stal Mielec
-
Stal Rzeszów
1:0
Latest results of Stal Rzeszów
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37:11 | 26 | 29 |
2 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:14 | 11 | 22 |
3 | Grodzisk M | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Polonia Bytom | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | S. Rzeszow | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Chrobry Glogow | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 19 |
8 | Odra Opole | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 17 |
9 | Ruch Chorzow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
10 | Pogon Siedlce | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 15 |
11 | LKS Lodz | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Polonia Warszawa | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 14 |
13 | Legnica | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:25 | -9 | 14 |
14 | Puszcza | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Tychy | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17:26 | -9 | 11 |
16 | Stal Mielec | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 11 |
17 | Leczna | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 9 |
18 | Pruszkow | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 15:30 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2