Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 11
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Jonathan Junior ⚽, Lysiak K. (A),
- 45+2', Puerto I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 59', Wolski F. ↓, Wachowiak K. ↑,
- 59', Odolak K. ↓, Sadlocha K. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 0, Lyczko S. ⚽,
- 68', Puerto I. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Losada M. ⚽,
- 81', Lyczko S. ↓, Masiak K. ↑,
- 84', Jonathan Junior 🟨,
- 84', Senger M. ↓, Diez A. ↑,
- 84', Mazurek D. ↓, Sommerfeld K. ↑,
- 85', Jonathan Junior ↓, Slawinski O. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Masiak K. ⚽, Thill S. (A),
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Domanski M. ⚽, Kruszelnicki P. (A),
Chances of winning
Stal Rzeszów 43.4% | Draw 25% | Stal Mielec 31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2%)
Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↑ (1.96) |
3.75 ↓ (3.85) |
2.93 ↓ (3.13) |
7% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 0.
- Stal Rzeszów has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stal Mielec's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 1.2:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Rzeszów won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Rzeszów won against Stal Mielec?
Stal Rzeszów has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Stal Rzeszów?
Stal Mielec has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec were as follows:
12.07.2024
Stal Rzeszów
-
Stal Mielec
0:5
15.07.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Stal Rzeszów
3:2
24.03.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Stal Rzeszów
1:1
25.11.2022
Stal Mielec
-
Stal Rzeszów
1:0
Latest results of Stal Rzeszów
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:39 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 44:35 | 9 | 42 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Wieczysta Krakow | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:36 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Legnica | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | LKS Lodz | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36:36 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 35 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26:49 | -23 | 20 |
| 17 | Leczna | 25 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 27:46 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Tychy | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2