Stal Rzeszów vs Stal Mielec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 11
  • Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
56
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
187
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
616

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Jonathan Junior , Lysiak K. (A),
  • 45+2', Puerto I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 59', Wolski F. , Wachowiak K. ,
  • 59', Odolak K. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Lyczko S. ,
  • 68', Puerto I. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Losada M. ,
  • 81', Lyczko S. , Masiak K. ,
  • 84', Jonathan Junior 🟨,
  • 84', Senger M. , Diez A. ,
  • 84', Mazurek D. , Sommerfeld K. ,
  • 85', Jonathan Junior , Slawinski O. ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Masiak K. , Thill S. (A),
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Domanski M. , Kruszelnicki P. (A),

Chances of winning


Stal Rzeszów
43.4%
Draw
25%
Stal Mielec
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 23.8% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 23.6% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.96)
    3.75
    (3.85)
    2.93
    (3.13)
    7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 0.
    • Stal Rzeszów has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Stal Mielec's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 1.2:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Rzeszów won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec 0:5
    15.07.2023 Stal Mielec - Stal Rzeszów 3:2
    24.03.2023 Stal Mielec - Stal Rzeszów 1:1
    25.11.2022 Stal Mielec - Stal Rzeszów 1:0
    Latest results of Stal Rzeszów
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2