Stal Stalowa Wola vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia
Result
0:3
25/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
55
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
231
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', Oko D. , Lelek K. ,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Vitalucci H. , Navarro M. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Majchrzak J. ,
  • 38', Furtak L. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 0 - 3, Celestine J. , Gojny D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Gojny D. , Stolc P. ,
  • 60', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
  • 60', Petrovic Z. , Gaprindashvili T. ,
  • 60', Kocyla D. , Ratajczyk A. ,
  • 69', Walski M. 🟨,
  • 69', Surzyn M. , Svec J. ,
  • 71', Celestine J. , Azatsky O. ,
  • 71', Jakubczyk K. , Sidibe A. ,
  • 79', Ruszel M. 🟨,
  • 82', Ibe-Torti K. , Thiago ,
  • 82', Strozik S. , Piotrowski A. ,
  • 82', Ruszel M. , Lacki D. ,

Chances of winning


Stal Stalowa Wola
16.7%
Draw
23%
Arka Gdynia
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.6% 23.7% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9% 22.8% 61%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.6
    (5.3)
    4.01
    (3.94)
    1.55
    (1.59)
    7.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is Relegated to Division 2
    • Arka is Qualified for Ekstraklasa
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Arka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arka is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Arka Gdynia - Stal Stalowa Wola 5:1
    25.09.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia 2:3
    Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1292137:112629
    2Slask Wroclaw1373322:19324
    3KS Wieczysta Krakow1365228:171123
    4Grodzisk M1364327:19822
    5Chrobry Glogow1364320:13722
    6Polonia Bytom1363419:14521
    7S. Rzeszow1362522:23-120
    8LKS Lodz1353521:19218
    9Odra Opole1346313:14-118
    10Ruch Chorzow1345419:21-217
    11Pogon Siedlce1344517:15216
    12Legnica1343618:27-915
    13Polonia Warszawa1335519:23-414
    14Tychy1333720:29-912
    15Puszcza1218311:14-311
    16Stal Mielec1332817:28-1111
    17Leczna1317516:25-910
    18Pruszkow1331916:31-1510

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2