Result
0:3
25/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 34
- Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', Oko D. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
- 16', 0 - 1, Vitalucci H. ⚽, Navarro M. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Majchrzak J. ⚽,
- 38', Furtak L. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 3, Celestine J. ⚽, Gojny D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Gojny D. ↓, Stolc P. ↑,
- 60', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
- 60', Petrovic Z. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
- 60', Kocyla D. ↓, Ratajczyk A. ↑,
- 69', Walski M. 🟨,
- 69', Surzyn M. ↓, Svec J. ↑,
- 71', Celestine J. ↓, Azatsky O. ↑,
- 71', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
- 79', Ruszel M. 🟨,
- 82', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 82', Strozik S. ↓, Piotrowski A. ↑,
- 82', Ruszel M. ↓, Lacki D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stal Stalowa Wola
16.7% | Draw
23% | Arka Gdynia
60.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.6 ↑
(5.3) |
4.01 ↑
(3.94) |
1.55 ↓
(1.59) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia?
Users Predictions:
Arka Gdynia will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arka Gdynia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).
- Stal Stalowa Wola is Relegated to Division 2
- Arka is Qualified for Ekstraklasa
- Stal Stalowa Wola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Arka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arka is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).
- Including home match between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Stalowa Wola won against Arka Gdynia?
Stal Stalowa Wola has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Stal Stalowa Wola?
Arka Gdynia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
24.11.2024
Arka Gdynia
-
Stal Stalowa Wola
5:1
25.09.2024
Stal Stalowa Wola
-
Arka Gdynia
2:3
Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 61:27 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51:40 | 11 | 47 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Grodzisk M | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:40 | 5 | 42 |
| 5 | Ruch Chorzow | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41:37 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | LKS Lodz | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 40:38 | 2 | 41 |
| 7 | Polonia Warszawa | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Wieczysta Krakow | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 52:40 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Legnica | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Puszcza | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 38 |
| 12 | Polonia Bytom | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 37 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 37:52 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Leczna | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 20 |
| 18 | Tychy | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 31:60 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
