Stal Stalowa Wola vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
25/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
55
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
231
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', Oko D. , Lelek K. ,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Vitalucci H. , Navarro M. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Majchrzak J. ,
  • 38', Furtak L. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 0 - 3, Celestine J. , Gojny D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Gojny D. , Stolc P. ,
  • 60', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
  • 60', Petrovic Z. , Gaprindashvili T. ,
  • 60', Kocyla D. , Ratajczyk A. ,
  • 69', Walski M. 🟨,
  • 69', Surzyn M. , Svec J. ,
  • 71', Celestine J. , Azatsky O. ,
  • 71', Jakubczyk K. , Sidibe A. ,
  • 79', Ruszel M. 🟨,
  • 82', Ibe-Torti K. , Thiago ,
  • 82', Strozik S. , Piotrowski A. ,
  • 82', Ruszel M. , Lacki D. ,

Chances of winning


Stal Stalowa Wola
16.7%
Draw
23%
Arka Gdynia
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.6% 23.7% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9% 22.8% 61%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.6
    (5.3)
    4.01
    (3.94)
    1.55
    (1.59)
    7.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is Relegated to Division 2
    • Arka is Qualified for Ekstraklasa
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Arka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arka is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Arka Gdynia - Stal Stalowa Wola 5:1
    25.09.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia 2:3
    Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2