Stal Stalowa Wola vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
25/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
55
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
231
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', Oko D. , Lelek K. ,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Vitalucci H. , Navarro M. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Majchrzak J. ,
  • 38', Furtak L. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 0 - 3, Celestine J. , Gojny D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Gojny D. , Stolc P. ,
  • 60', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
  • 60', Petrovic Z. , Gaprindashvili T. ,
  • 60', Kocyla D. , Ratajczyk A. ,
  • 69', Walski M. 🟨,
  • 69', Surzyn M. , Svec J. ,
  • 71', Celestine J. , Azatsky O. ,
  • 71', Jakubczyk K. , Sidibe A. ,
  • 79', Ruszel M. 🟨,
  • 82', Ibe-Torti K. , Thiago ,
  • 82', Strozik S. , Piotrowski A. ,
  • 82', Ruszel M. , Lacki D. ,

Chances of winning


Stal Stalowa Wola
16.7%
Draw
23%
Arka Gdynia
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.6% 23.7% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9% 22.8% 61%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.6
    (5.3)
    4.01
    (3.94)
    1.55
    (1.59)
    7.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is Relegated to Division 2
    • Arka is Qualified for Ekstraklasa
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Arka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arka is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Arka Gdynia - Stal Stalowa Wola 5:1
    25.09.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia 2:3
    Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla22146253:183548
    2Chrobry Glogow22115631:201138
    3Wieczysta Krakow22107547:331437
    4Polonia Warszawa22107537:31637
    5Grodzisk M2299439:291036
    6S. Rzeszow22105735:35035
    7Polonia Bytom22105737:28935
    8Slask Wroclaw2297640:36434
    9Legnica22104839:39034
    10LKS Lodz2295834:35-132
    11Ruch Chorzow2287734:33131
    12Odra Opole2268821:27-626
    13Pogon Siedlce2268824:24026
    14Puszcza22510727:29-225
    15Pruszkow22541323:44-2119
    16Leczna22291125:41-1615
    17Tychy22351427:48-2114
    18Stal Mielec22351425:48-2314

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2