Result
1:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 24
- Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (228/346) | 59% (161/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (228/346) | 59% (161/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (16/71) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (65/121) | 42% (41/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, James-Wildin L. ⚽, Patterson P. (A),
- 59', Malcolm J. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
- 64', Reid J. 🟨,
- 67', Wiredu B. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
- 67', Mumba B. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
- 67', Edwards J. ↓, Szucs K. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Boateng M. ⚽, Watts C. (A),
- 74', Houghton J. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 74', Patterson P. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
- 74', Reid J. ↓, Young J. ↑,
- 90+3', Campbell C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Young J. ↓, Pattenden J. ↑,
- 90+4', Sorinola M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
45.6% | Draw
28.8% | Plymouth Argyle
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.99) |
3.22 ↑
(3.2) |
3.63 ↑
(3.63) |
7.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Plymouth (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0.
- In recent matches, Stevenage has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Plymouth is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Stevenage might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B.
(International duty)
Ibrahim B.
(Inactive)
MacKenzie J.
(Shin Injury)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Dale O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Plymouth Argyle?
Stevenage Borough has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Stevenage Borough?
Plymouth Argyle has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
