Result
1:0
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (151/263) | 58% (202/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (151/263) | 58% (202/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 17% (11/63) | 31% (24/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (42/94) | 35% (36/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 78 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 55 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Freestone L. 🟨,
- 40', Mitchell A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Ross M. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
- 64', Paterson J. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
- 77', Phillips M. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 78', Thompson L. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
- 78', White H. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 79', Dale O. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
- 79', MacKenzie J. ↓, Galloway B. ↑,
- 90', Kemp D. ↓, Brown L. ↑,
- 90', Piergianni C. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 90+3', Kane H. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
- 90+3', Amaechi X. 🟨,
- 90+8', Reid J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle
40.9% | Draw
29.6% | Stevenage Borough
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Plymouth Argyle - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.19) |
3.16 ↑
(3.15) |
3.17 ↑
(3.15) |
6.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Stevenage Borough?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Stevenage (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Stevenage (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Stevenage (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Stevenage (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(41 of 46 users predict this - 89.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.13% – 98.13%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Plymouth Argyle will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Stevenage (votes: 4 - 23.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Plymouth has had a series of away games.
- Plymouth could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Stevenage Borough?
Plymouth Argyle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Plymouth Argyle?
Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
01.01.2026
Stevenage Borough
-
Plymouth Argyle
1:1
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
