Birmingham City vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.870.32
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
51
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
66
Passes
68% (201/296)72% (269/374)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.870.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.06
Total shots
187
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
83
Shots inside the box
143
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3316
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
34
Free kicks
107
Passes
68% (201/296)72% (269/374)
Long passes
33% (25/76)27% (18/67)
Passes in final third
55% (61/110)50% (54/109)
Crosses
38% (8/21)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.24
Throw ins
2625
Fouls
710
Tackles
67% (8/12)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5044
Clearances
4829
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.060.49
Goals prevented
0.06-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', 1 - 0, Iwata T. , Stansfield J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Osman I. , Priske A. ,
  • 56', Doyle T. , Solis Romero J. E. ,
  • 67', Stansfield J. 🟨,
  • 68', Bae J. , Fawunmi F. ,
  • 68', Bocat E. , Cresswell A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Neumann P. (Own goal),
  • 80', Cisse L. 🟨,
  • 81', Ducksch M. , Furuhashi K. ,
  • 89', Rigo T. , Pearson B. ,
  • 90+2', Roberts P. , Wright S. ,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
54.4%
Draw
24.7%
Stoke City
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 26.1% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 28.9% 18.5%

Birmingham City - Stoke City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.74
(1.77)
3.82
(3.62)
4.54
(4.62)
5.6%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Birmingham (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -1 - Birmingham (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Birmingham has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Cochrane A. (Inactive) Gray D. (Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Ankle Injury) Bozenik R. (Shoulder Injury) Gallagher S. (Inactive) Gibson B. (Inactive) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Lawal B. (Red Card) Tchamadeu J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Robinson J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Stoke City were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Stoke City - Birmingham City 1:0
    20.01.2024 Stoke City - Birmingham City 1:2
    26.12.2023 Birmingham City - Stoke City 1:3
    10.04.2023 Birmingham City - Stoke City 0:0
    05.11.2022 Stoke City - Birmingham City 1:2
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough31187649:301961
    2Coventry31178663:352859
    3Ipswich30159651:292254
    4Hull31166950:43754
    5Millwall31158839:36353
    6Wrexham311211844:39547
    7Preston311211838:34447
    8Bristol City311371143:38546
    9Southampton3212101048:44446
    10Birmingham3212101043:39446
    11Derby311291045:39645
    12Watford311111939:36344
    13QPR311281142:43-144
    14Stoke311271234:28643
    15Swansea311261338:37142
    16Norwich321161542:42039
    17Sheffield Utd311231644:45-139
    18Charlton30991229:38-936
    19West Brom32971632:47-1534
    20Portsmouth29891227:38-1133
    21Leicester321081444:51-732
    22Blackburn31881527:40-1332
    23Oxford Utd326101628:44-1628
    24Sheffield Wed31182218:62-44-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One