Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 5
- Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (139/194) | 80% (245/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (139/194) | 80% (245/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (17/40) | 33% (10/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 66% (45/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 11% (1/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Lawal B. ⚽, Cresswell A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Doyle T. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
- 59', Laird E. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
- 60', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 71', Rigo T. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
- 78', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
- 79', Stansfield J. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
- 80', Pearson B. 🟨,
- 82', Pearson B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
- 83', Baker L. 🟨,
- 84', Neumann P. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
- 90+3', Manhoef M. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
- 90+3', Cresswell A. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
- 90+4', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stoke City
38.8% | Draw
31.8% | Birmingham City
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stoke City's performance.Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stoke City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stoke City - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(3.19) |
3.35 ↑
(3.3) |
3.79 ↑
(2.37) |
-6.9%
(3.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Stoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Stoke: Cisse L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
N'Zonzi S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Furuhashi K.
(Injury)
Stansfield J.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Birmingham City?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Stoke City?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Birmingham City were as follows:
20.01.2024
Stoke City
-
Birmingham City
1:2
26.12.2023
Birmingham City
-
Stoke City
1:3
10.04.2023
Birmingham City
-
Stoke City
0:0
05.11.2022
Stoke City
-
Birmingham City
1:2
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
