Result
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 5
- Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Stoke City
38.8% | Draw
31.8% | Birmingham City
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stoke City's performance.Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stoke City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stoke City - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(3.19) |
3.35 ↑
(3.3) |
3.79 ↑
(2.37) |
-6.9%
(3.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Stoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Stoke: Cisse L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
N'Zonzi S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Furuhashi K.
(Injury)
Stansfield J.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Birmingham City?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Stoke City?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Birmingham City were as follows:
20.01.2024
Stoke City
-
Birmingham City
1:2
26.12.2023
Birmingham City
-
Stoke City
1:3
10.04.2023
Birmingham City
-
Stoke City
0:0
05.11.2022
Stoke City
-
Birmingham City
1:2
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Leicester | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | West Brom | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Stoke | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Coventry | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 8 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Preston | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Swansea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Portsmouth | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Millwall | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | Norwich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Southampton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Charlton | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | Hull | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | QPR | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 2 |
| 22 | Derby | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 2 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
