Result
1:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 29
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (201/296) | 72% (269/374) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (201/296) | 72% (269/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (25/76) | 27% (18/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (61/110) | 50% (54/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Iwata T. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Osman I. ↓, Priske A. ↑,
- 56', Doyle T. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
- 67', Stansfield J. 🟨,
- 68', Bae J. ↓, Fawunmi F. ↑,
- 68', Bocat E. ↓, Cresswell A. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Neumann P. (Own goal),
- 80', Cisse L. 🟨,
- 81', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
- 89', Rigo T. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
- 90+2', Roberts P. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
54.4% | Draw
24.7% | Stoke City
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Birmingham City - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.77) |
3.82 ↑
(3.62) |
4.54 ↓
(4.62) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Birmingham (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -1 - Birmingham (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Birmingham has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Cochrane A.
(Inactive)
Gray D.
(Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osayi-Samuel B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Baker L.
(Ankle Injury)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Inactive)
Gibson B.
(Inactive)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawal B.
(Red Card)
Tchamadeu J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Robinson J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Stoke City?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Birmingham City?
Stoke City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Stoke City were as follows:
13.09.2025
Stoke City
-
Birmingham City
1:0
20.01.2024
Stoke City
-
Birmingham City
1:2
26.12.2023
Birmingham City
-
Stoke City
1:3
10.04.2023
Birmingham City
-
Stoke City
0:0
05.11.2022
Stoke City
-
Birmingham City
1:2
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
